MX23RW : Sunday, December 22 16:10:04| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Go Ahead Eagles
Eredivisie | Gameweek 17
Jan 14, 2024 at 1.30pm UK
De Adelaarshorst
Ajax

Go Ahead Eagles
2 - 3
Ajax

Edvardsen (44'), Kramer (58')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Brobbey (27'), Tahirovic (45+4'), Rensch (72')
Hlynsson (53'), Medic (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Go Ahead Eagles and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ajax 2-1 Hannover
Sunday, January 7 at 12pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Go Ahead Eagles 1-3 Ajax

After the winter break, both teams will be looking to make their mark, and an extended period without a game could have benefitted both clubs. Nevertheless, Ajax look a strong outfit under this management, and we are backing them to run out convincing winners. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 41.37%. A win for Ajax had a probability of 37.54% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.12%) and 3-2 (4.81%). The likeliest Ajax win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
Go Ahead EaglesDrawAjax
41.37% (-0.722 -0.72) 21.09% (0.285 0.29) 37.54% (0.443 0.44)
Both teams to score 73.02% (-1.093 -1.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
74.04% (-1.401 -1.4)25.96% (1.408 1.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
53.84% (-1.825 -1.83)46.16% (1.832 1.83)
Go Ahead Eagles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.17% (-0.81899999999999 -0.82)13.83% (0.824 0.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.8% (-1.649 -1.65)41.2% (1.655 1.66)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.74% (-0.452 -0.45)15.26% (0.459 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.06% (-0.857 -0.86)43.94% (0.865 0.87)
Score Analysis
    Go Ahead Eagles 41.37%
    Ajax 37.54%
    Draw 21.09%
Go Ahead EaglesDrawAjax
2-1 @ 7.76% (0.112 0.11)
3-1 @ 5.12% (-0.082 -0.08)
3-2 @ 4.81% (-0.156 -0.16)
1-0 @ 4.17% (0.247 0.25)
2-0 @ 4.13% (0.125 0.13)
3-0 @ 2.72%
4-1 @ 2.53% (-0.121 -0.12)
4-2 @ 2.38% (-0.153 -0.15)
4-3 @ 1.49% (-0.122 -0.12)
4-0 @ 1.35% (-0.042 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1% (-0.081 -0.08)
5-2 @ 0.94% (-0.092 -0.09)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 41.37%
1-1 @ 7.85% (0.346 0.35)
2-2 @ 7.3% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-3 @ 3.02% (-0.148 -0.15)
0-0 @ 2.11% (0.185 0.19)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 21.09%
1-2 @ 7.38% (0.212 0.21)
1-3 @ 4.63% (0.061 0.06)
2-3 @ 4.57% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-1 @ 3.97% (0.289 0.29)
0-2 @ 3.73% (0.216 0.22)
0-3 @ 2.34% (0.1 0.1)
1-4 @ 2.17% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-4 @ 2.15% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-4 @ 1.42% (-0.093 -0.09)
0-4 @ 1.1% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 4.08%
Total : 37.54%

How you voted: Go Ahead Eagles vs Ajax

Go Ahead Eagles
11.8%
Draw
5.9%
Ajax
82.4%
17
Head to Head
Aug 14, 2023 1pm
Club Friendlies
Ajax
0-1
Go Ahead Eagles
Baeten (34')
Apr 2, 2023 11.15am
Oct 1, 2022 7pm
Feb 27, 2022 3.45pm
Gameweek 21
Go Ahead Eagles
2-1
Ajax
Cordoba (18'), Rommens (45+2')
Martina (41')
Berghuis (64')
Nov 7, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 11
Ajax
0-0
Go Ahead Eagles
Martinez (42'), Alvarez (49')
Lucassen (90')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV17150259134645
2Ajax17123237162139
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1711333428636
4Feyenoord17105240211935
5AZ AlkmaarAZ17102531171432
6FC Twente1794432211131
7Go Ahead Eagles177463027325
8Fortuna SittardSittard177462525025
9NAC BredaNAC Breda177191927-822
10Heerenveen176381731-1421
11Willem II165471718-119
12NECNijmegen165292220217
13PEC Zwolle174581626-1017
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta172691426-1212
17Almere CityAlmere City1723121037-279
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1714121841-237


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