Eredivisie | Gameweek 16

Dec 16, 2023 at 5.45pm UK

Van Donge & De Roo Stadion

Excelsior
1 - 1
Go Ahead Eagles

Uddenas (83')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Amofa (54')
Rommens (89'), Nauber (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between SBV Excelsior and Go Ahead Eagles, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

SBV Excelsior

All competitions

Last Game: FC Twente 4-2 Excelsior
Friday, December 8 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Go Ahead Eagles

All competitions

Last Game: Go Ahead Eagles 0-2 Utrecht
Sunday, December 10 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: SBV Excelsior 2-2 Go Ahead Eagles

Excelsior have seen their matches produce the fourth-highest number of combined goals, and we are anticipating another goal fest this weekend. That said, we can also see Saturday's opponents cancelling each other out and settling for a point apiece in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 47.28%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 28.68% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.95%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
SBV Excelsior	Draw	Go Ahead Eagles
28.68% ( 0.14)	24.04% ( 0.09)	47.28% ( -0.23)

Both teams to score 58.07% (

-0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.07% (

-0.32)

43.93% (

0.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.68% (

-0.31)

66.31% (

0.31)

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.46% (

-0.06)

28.54% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.67% (

-0.08)

64.32% (

0.07)

Go Ahead Eagles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.27% (

-0.22)

18.73% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.9% (

-0.37)

50.1% (

0.37)

Score Analysis

SBV Excelsior 28.68%

Go Ahead Eagles 47.28%

Draw 24.03%

SBV Excelsior	Draw	Go Ahead Eagles
2-1 @ 7.04% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 6.7% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 4.2% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 2.94% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.76% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.65% Total : 28.68%	1-1 @ 11.22% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.35% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.03%	1-2 @ 9.4% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 8.95% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 7.5% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.25% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 4.19% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 3.29% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 2.2% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1.75% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.36% Total : 47.28%