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FC Utrecht
Eredivisie | Gameweek 12
Nov 12, 2023 at 7pm UK
Stadion Galgenwaard
Excelsior

Utrecht
2 - 2
Excelsior

Bozdogan (70'), Sagnan (90+3')
Sagnan (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Driouech (53'), Lamprou (62')
Baas (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between FC Utrecht and SBV Excelsior, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Utrecht 1-1 FC Twente
Sunday, November 5 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: Excelsior 1-1 AZ
Saturday, November 4 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: FC Utrecht 1-2 SBV Excelsior

With both of these teams collecting good points last weekend, Utrecht and Excelsior will be in optimistic moods ahead of Sunday night's clash at Stadion Galgenwaard. The hosts are unbeaten in their last three home matches across all competitions, but we believe that streak will come to an end against SBV in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 55.42%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 22.4% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 (5.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
FC UtrechtDrawSBV Excelsior
55.42% (0.653 0.65) 22.18% (-0.239 -0.24) 22.4% (-0.413 -0.41)
Both teams to score 58% (0.265 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.9% (0.607 0.61)41.1% (-0.606 -0.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.51% (0.614 0.61)63.49% (-0.61300000000001 -0.61)
FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.26% (0.423 0.42)14.74% (-0.422 -0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.04% (0.805 0.81)42.95% (-0.80399999999999 -0.8)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.02% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)31.97% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.56% (-0.032 -0.03)68.43% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    FC Utrecht 55.42%
    SBV Excelsior 22.4%
    Draw 22.17%
FC UtrechtDrawSBV Excelsior
2-1 @ 9.85% (0.016 0.02)
1-0 @ 9.02% (-0.114 -0.11)
2-0 @ 8.64% (0.02 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.29% (0.103 0.1)
3-0 @ 5.51% (0.095000000000001 0.1)
3-2 @ 3.58% (0.056 0.06)
4-1 @ 3.01% (0.093 0.09)
4-0 @ 2.64% (0.083 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.72% (0.052 0.05)
5-1 @ 1.15% (0.052 0.05)
5-0 @ 1.01% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 3%
Total : 55.42%
1-1 @ 10.28% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-2 @ 5.62% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 4.71% (-0.131 -0.13)
3-3 @ 1.36% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 22.17%
1-2 @ 5.87% (-0.083 -0.08)
0-1 @ 5.37% (-0.153 -0.15)
0-2 @ 3.06% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-3 @ 2.23% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.13%
0-3 @ 1.16% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 22.4%

How you voted: Utrecht vs Excelsior

FC Utrecht
33.3%
Draw
16.7%
SBV Excelsior
50.0%
12
Head to Head
Jan 25, 2023 8pm
Oct 2, 2022 1.30pm
Feb 23, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 23
Utrecht
0-0
Excelsior
Klaiber (9')
Koolwijk (21'), Fortes (60'), Messaoud (95')
Nov 30, 2018 7pm
Gameweek 14
Excelsior
3-3
Utrecht
Omarsson (6'), Koolwijk (8'), Bruins (26' pen.)
Matthys (81')
Kerk (55'), Venema (61'), Gustafson (65' pen.)
Tannane (23'), van der Maarel (25'), Klaiber (26'), Janssen (59')
Klaiber (85')
Feb 4, 2018 11.30am
Excelsior
2-2
Utrecht
Elbers (22'), Faik (77')
Haspolat (72')
Van der Maarel (25'), Labyad (73')
Kerk (83')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV66002341918
2AZ AlkmaarAZ65101621416
3FC UtrechtUtrecht541095413
4FC Twente6321125711
5Feyenoord523011569
6Groningen623110739
7Sparta RotterdamSparta62317619
8Heracles723269-39
9Willem II622210738
10Ajax42118357
11Go Ahead Eagles621359-47
12Heerenveen7214916-77
13NECNijmegen620467-16
14Fortuna SittardSittard6204612-66
15NAC BredaNAC Breda6204513-86
16PEC Zwolle6114610-44
17Almere CityAlmere City6024217-152
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk6006317-140


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