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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Excelsior
Eredivisie | Gameweek 7
Oct 1, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
Van Donge & De Roo Stadion
Sparta Rotterdam logo

Excelsior
2 - 1
Sparta

Zagre (73'), Parrott (90+4')
El Yaakoubi (2'), Driouech (45'), Zagre (75'), Parrott (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
de Guzman (59')
Vriends (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between SBV Excelsior and Sparta Rotterdam, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Heerenveen 0-3 Excelsior
Saturday, September 23 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Sparta 1-0 Vitesse
Sunday, September 24 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

We said: SBV Excelsior 2-2 Sparta Rotterdam

This is a derby day encounter, therefore both teams and fans should be up for it which will create a passionate atmosphere and a tense game. Both have started the season in similar form, and with little to split them at the moment, they could end up sharing the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 40.19%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 36.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.01%) and 0-2 (5.67%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
SBV ExcelsiorDrawSparta Rotterdam
36.14% (-1.695 -1.7) 23.67% (-0.299 -0.3) 40.19% (1.997 2)
Both teams to score 62.62% (1 1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.68% (1.354 1.35)39.33% (-1.351 -1.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.34% (1.402 1.4)61.66% (-1.398 -1.4)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.16% (-0.247 -0.25)21.84% (0.251 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.94% (-0.38 -0.38)55.07% (0.384 0.38)
Sparta Rotterdam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.12% (1.531 1.53)19.88% (-1.527 -1.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48% (2.415 2.42)52% (-2.41 -2.41)
Score Analysis
    SBV Excelsior 36.15%
    Sparta Rotterdam 40.19%
    Draw 23.66%
SBV ExcelsiorDrawSparta Rotterdam
2-1 @ 8.12% (-0.254 -0.25)
1-0 @ 6.61% (-0.479 -0.48)
2-0 @ 5.03% (-0.406 -0.41)
3-1 @ 4.12% (-0.161 -0.16)
3-2 @ 3.33% (0.028 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.55% (-0.227 -0.23)
4-1 @ 1.57% (-0.074 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.27% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 0.97% (-0.094 -0.09)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 36.15%
1-1 @ 10.67% (-0.25 -0.25)
2-2 @ 6.56% (0.106 0.11)
0-0 @ 4.34% (-0.28 -0.28)
3-3 @ 1.79% (0.097 0.1)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.66%
1-2 @ 8.62% (0.203 0.2)
0-1 @ 7.01% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-2 @ 5.67% (0.175 0.18)
1-3 @ 4.64% (0.317 0.32)
2-3 @ 3.53% (0.216 0.22)
0-3 @ 3.05% (0.23 0.23)
1-4 @ 1.87% (0.208 0.21)
2-4 @ 1.43% (0.149 0.15)
0-4 @ 1.23% (0.145 0.15)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 40.19%

How you voted: Excelsior vs Sparta

SBV Excelsior
14.3%
Draw
42.9%
Sparta Rotterdam
42.9%
7
Head to Head
Mar 5, 2023 11.15am
Gameweek 24
Excelsior
1-4
Sparta
Driouech (45')
El Yaakoubi (20' og.), Saito (49'), Lauritsen (56'), Vriends (60')
Jan 14, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 16
Sparta
1-0
Excelsior
Kitolano (90+1')
Jan 21, 2018 11.30am
Sparta
2-3
Excelsior
Massop (3' og.), Brogno (42' pen.)
Chabot (18'), Brogno (32'), Fischer (85'), Floranus (88')
Messaoud (5'), Van Duinen (44'), Hadouir (86')
Karami (30'), van Duinen (44'), de Wijs (66')
Oct 21, 2017 6.45pm
Excelsior
1-1
Sparta
Massop (54')
Koolwijk (60'), Mattheij (69'), Vermeulen (75'), de Wijs (85')
Goodwin (86')
Dougall (34'), Floranus (71')
Apr 7, 2017 7pm
Sparta
2-3
Excelsior
Brogno (10'), Pusic (87')
Hasselbaink (24', 48'), Van Duinen (44')
Fortes (50'), Hadouir (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Steelers
19-24
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1211014093133
2FC UtrechtUtrecht119112011928
3Ajax1182125111426
4Feyenoord1274128131525
5FC Twente1264224111322
6AZ AlkmaarAZ125252314917
7Fortuna SittardSittard125251316-317
8NECNijmegen125161910916
9Willem II124351312115
10Go Ahead Eagles124351520-515
11NAC BredaNAC Breda125071221-915
12Heerenveen124261323-1014
13Groningen123361219-712
14PEC Zwolle123361422-812
15Heracles123361223-1112
16Sparta RotterdamSparta122551218-611
17Almere CityAlmere City12138627-216
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1211101031-214


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