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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 40.19%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 36.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.01%) and 0-2 (5.67%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
SBV Excelsior | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
36.14% ( -1.7) | 23.67% ( -0.3) | 40.19% ( 2) |
Both teams to score 62.62% ( 1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.68% ( 1.35) | 39.33% ( -1.35) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.34% ( 1.4) | 61.66% ( -1.4) |
SBV Excelsior Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.16% ( -0.25) | 21.84% ( 0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.94% ( -0.38) | 55.07% ( 0.38) |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.12% ( 1.53) | 19.88% ( -1.53) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48% ( 2.42) | 52% ( -2.41) |
Score Analysis |
SBV Excelsior | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
2-1 @ 8.12% ( -0.25) 1-0 @ 6.61% ( -0.48) 2-0 @ 5.03% ( -0.41) 3-1 @ 4.12% ( -0.16) 3-2 @ 3.33% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.55% ( -0.23) 4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.27% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.6% Total : 36.15% | 1-1 @ 10.67% ( -0.25) 2-2 @ 6.56% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 4.34% ( -0.28) 3-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.66% | 1-2 @ 8.62% ( 0.2) 0-1 @ 7.01% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.18) 1-3 @ 4.64% ( 0.32) 2-3 @ 3.53% ( 0.22) 0-3 @ 3.05% ( 0.23) 1-4 @ 1.87% ( 0.21) 2-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.15) 0-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.15) Other @ 3.14% Total : 40.19% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |