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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 42.77%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 32.65% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.58%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.
Result | ||
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Vitesse |
32.65% ( -0.06) | 24.58% ( 0.16) | 42.77% ( -0.11) |
Both teams to score 58.35% ( -0.6) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.49% ( -0.77) | 44.51% ( 0.76) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.12% ( -0.75) | 66.88% ( 0.74) |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.77% ( -0.41) | 26.23% ( 0.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.66% ( -0.55) | 61.33% ( 0.54) |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.1% ( -0.37) | 20.9% ( 0.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.38% ( -0.58) | 53.61% ( 0.58) |
Score Analysis |
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Vitesse |
2-1 @ 7.69% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 4.91% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.43% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 2.19% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.27% Total : 32.65% | 1-1 @ 11.48% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 6.02% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 5.48% ( 0.18) 3-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.58% | 1-2 @ 8.99% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.58% ( 0.19) 0-2 @ 6.72% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 4.69% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 3.51% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 1.84% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.71% Total : 42.77% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 13 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 45 | 9 | 36 | 36 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 31 |
3 | Ajax | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 27 | 11 | 16 | 29 |
4 | Feyenoord | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 28 |
5 | FC Twente | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 25 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 20 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 18 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
9 | NECNijmegen | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 16 |
10 | Willem II | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 16 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 16 |
12 | Heerenveen | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 14 |
13 | Heracles | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 13 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
15 | Groningen | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 30 | -24 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 33 | -21 | 5 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |