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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 50.33%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 24.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 0-1 (7.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Vitesse | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
50.33% ( -0.37) | 25.2% ( 0.04) | 24.47% ( 0.33) |
Both teams to score 50.71% ( 0.23) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.08% ( 0.13) | 51.92% ( -0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.33% ( 0.12) | 73.67% ( -0.11) |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.36% ( -0.1) | 20.64% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.79% ( -0.16) | 53.21% ( 0.16) |
RKC Waalwijk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.9% ( 0.37) | 36.1% ( -0.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.12% ( 0.37) | 72.88% ( -0.37) |
Score Analysis |
Vitesse | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
1-0 @ 11.75% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 9.45% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.28% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 4.97% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.88% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.96% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.93% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 2.58% Total : 50.33% | 1-1 @ 11.97% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.45% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.82% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.95% Total : 25.19% | 0-1 @ 7.59% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.1% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 3.87% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.89% Total : 24.47% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 37 | 9 | 28 | 30 |
2 | Ajax | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 25 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 25 |
4 | Feyenoord | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 22 |
5 | FC Twente | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 21 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 17 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 15 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 15 |
10 | NECNijmegen | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 13 |
11 | Willem II | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 12 |
12 | Heracles | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
13 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 11 |
14 | Heerenveen | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 11 |
15 | Groningen | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 9 |
16 | PEC Zwolle | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 9 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 23 | -18 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 10 | 28 | -18 | 4 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |