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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Excelsior
Eredivisie | Gameweek 5
Sep 17, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
Van Donge & De Roo Stadion

Excelsior
0 - 0
Almere City


El Yaakoubi (13'), Zagre (66')
FT

Resink (26'), Robinet (45'), Royo (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between SBV Excelsior and Almere City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Heracles 3-1 Excelsior
Saturday, September 2 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Almere City 1-2 PEC Zwolle
Saturday, September 2 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: SBV Excelsior 2-1 Almere City

Excelsior have gone off the boil slightly following a decent first two matches, but a home clash with Almere on Sunday afternoon is the perfect opportunity to earn a second maximum of the season. The Black Sheep look out of place in the Eredivisie judging off their opening four results, although we believe that they will be competitive this weekend in Rotterdam - even if they suffer another loss. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 45.66%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 31.4% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.01%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest Almere City win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.

Result
SBV ExcelsiorDrawAlmere City
45.66% (0.938 0.94) 22.93% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04) 31.4% (-0.896 -0.9)
Both teams to score 63.75% (-0.29 -0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.8% (-0.197 -0.2)37.19% (0.198 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.6% (-0.213 -0.21)59.4% (0.213 0.21)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.26% (0.283 0.28)16.73% (-0.284 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.35% (0.505 0.5)46.65% (-0.504 -0.5)
Almere City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.56% (-0.61 -0.61)23.44% (0.61 0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.55% (-0.895 -0.9)57.44% (0.894 0.89)
Score Analysis
    SBV Excelsior 45.66%
    Almere City 31.4%
    Draw 22.93%
SBV ExcelsiorDrawAlmere City
2-1 @ 9.09% (0.093999999999999 0.09)
1-0 @ 7.01% (0.132 0.13)
2-0 @ 6.27% (0.176 0.18)
3-1 @ 5.42% (0.107 0.11)
3-2 @ 3.93% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.74% (0.139 0.14)
4-1 @ 2.42% (0.07 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.76% (0.02 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.67% (0.077 0.08)
Other @ 4.36%
Total : 45.66%
1-1 @ 10.17% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.6% (-0.05 -0.05)
0-0 @ 3.92% (0.037 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.9% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 22.93%
1-2 @ 7.38% (-0.127 -0.13)
0-1 @ 5.69% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-2 @ 4.13% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-3 @ 3.57% (-0.128 -0.13)
2-3 @ 3.19% (-0.082 -0.08)
0-3 @ 2% (-0.091 -0.09)
1-4 @ 1.29% (-0.071 -0.07)
2-4 @ 1.16% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 3%
Total : 31.4%

How you voted: Excelsior vs Almere City

SBV Excelsior
84.6%
Draw
15.4%
Almere City
0.0%
13
Head to Head
Apr 1, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 32
Almere City
3-0
Excelsior
Puriel (51'), Alhaft (54'), Duijvestijn (69')
Pouwels (74')

El Yaakoubi (43'), Wieffer (54')
Nov 14, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 15
Excelsior
4-4
Almere City
Niemeijer (11', 82'), Dallinga (16'), Resink (54' og.)
Horemans (80'), Wieffer (89')
Duijvestijn (25'), Arweiler (69', 74', 78')
Receveur (24'), Duijvestijn (39')
Mar 6, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 27
Almere City
4-1
Excelsior
Hammouti (37', 44'), Emmers (79'), Yeboah (90')
Mendes Moreira (88')
Wieffer (66')
Sep 6, 2020 11.15am
Gameweek 2
Excelsior
4-6
Almere City
Niemeijer (5'), Mar Omarsson (16', 18', 87')
Matthys (17')
Verheydt (3', 37'), Hammouti (24'), Margaritha (25'), Emmers (86'), Receveur (88')
Verheydt (17'), Mirani (77'), Lesquoy (78')
Mar 29, 2020 11.15am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1110013792830
2Ajax108112391425
3FC UtrechtUtrecht108111911825
4Feyenoord1164124121222
5FC Twente116322291321
6AZ AlkmaarAZ1152422121017
7Fortuna SittardSittard115241213-117
8Go Ahead Eagles114341519-415
9NAC BredaNAC Breda115061218-615
10NECNijmegen114161610613
11Willem II113351111012
12Heracles113351222-1012
13Sparta RotterdamSparta112541217-511
14Heerenveen113261223-1111
15Groningen112361119-89
16PEC Zwolle112361121-109
17Almere CityAlmere City11137523-186
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk111191028-184


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