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Willem II
Vitesse
Eredivisie | Gameweek 8
Oct 7, 2023 at 8pm UK
GelreDome
Excelsior

Vitesse
0 - 0
Excelsior


Arcus (30'), Hendriks (69')
FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Vitesse and SBV Excelsior, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nijmegen 1-3 Vitesse
Sunday, October 1 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: Excelsior 2-1 Sparta
Sunday, October 1 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: Vitesse 1-2 SBV Excelsior

Vitesse turned up their performance levels significantly in the second half to earn a win over local rivals NEC in the Gelderland Derby, but Cocu's side still have plenty of questions marks surrounding them ahead of Saturday's match. Excelsior have started the campaign magnificently and should be confident of climbing further towards the summit of the Eredivisie with maximum points at GelreDome in this clash. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 53.68%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 22.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 0-1 (6.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
VitesseDrawSBV Excelsior
53.68% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03) 23.5% (0.021999999999998 0.02) 22.82% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Both teams to score 54.13% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.51% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)46.49% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.23% (-0.084 -0.08)68.77% (0.086999999999989 0.09)
Vitesse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.75% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)17.25% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.44% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)47.56% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.41% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)34.59% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.69% (-0.046000000000003 -0.05)71.31% (0.047999999999988 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Vitesse 53.68%
    SBV Excelsior 22.82%
    Draw 23.5%
VitesseDrawSBV Excelsior
1-0 @ 10.48% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.78% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 9.22% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.73% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.4% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 3.04% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.52% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.37% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.34% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 53.68%
1-1 @ 11.13% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.97% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.19% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.5%
0-1 @ 6.33% (0.016 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.91%
0-2 @ 3.36% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 2.09% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.84% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 22.82%

How you voted: Vitesse vs Excelsior

Vitesse
66.7%
Draw
0.0%
SBV Excelsior
33.3%
12
Head to Head
Apr 22, 2023 8pm
Aug 12, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 2
Excelsior
3-1
Vitesse
Kharchouch (14', 20'), Goudmijn (76')
Frederiksen (29')
Tronstad (90+6')
Feb 9, 2021 7pm
Quarter-Finals
Excelsior
0-1
Vitesse
Openda (90+1')
Bazoer (20')
Jan 18, 2019 7pm
Gameweek 18
Vitesse
3-2
Excelsior
Foor (6'), Linssen (36'), Van der Werff (67')
Darfalou (61'), van der Werff (72')
Edwards (51'), Schouten (69')
Bruins (17')
Oct 20, 2018 5.30pm
Gameweek 9
Excelsior
2-0
Vitesse
Clark (40' og.), Mattheij (70')
Stevens (91')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1312014593636
2Feyenoord1384131131828
3FC UtrechtUtrecht119112011928
4Ajax1182125111426
5FC Twente1374226121425
6Go Ahead Eagles135351820-218
7AZ AlkmaarAZ125252314917
8Fortuna SittardSittard135261418-417
9NECNijmegen125161910916
10Willem II124351312115
11NAC BredaNAC Breda125071221-915
12Heerenveen134271326-1314
13Heracles133461425-1113
14PEC Zwolle123361422-812
15Groningen133371224-1212
16Sparta RotterdamSparta122551218-611
17Almere CityAlmere City13139630-246
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1312101233-215


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