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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 38.62%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 37.8% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.74%) and 2-0 (5.36%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | FC Utrecht |
38.62% ( 0.47) | 23.59% ( 0.16) | 37.8% ( -0.62) |
Both teams to score 63.07% ( -0.62) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.2% ( -0.8) | 38.8% ( 0.8) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.89% ( -0.84) | 61.11% ( 0.85) |
Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.61% ( -0.13) | 20.39% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.19% ( -0.21) | 52.81% ( 0.21) |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.22% ( -0.65) | 20.78% ( 0.65) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.57% ( -1.03) | 53.43% ( 1.03) |
Score Analysis |
Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | FC Utrecht |
2-1 @ 8.42% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 6.74% ( 0.23) 2-0 @ 5.36% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 4.46% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.51% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 2.84% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.77% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.02) Other @ 3% Total : 38.62% | 1-1 @ 10.58% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 6.61% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 4.24% ( 0.16) 3-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.58% | 1-2 @ 8.32% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 6.66% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.36% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 3.46% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.71% ( -0.08) 2-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.89% Total : 37.8% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 37 | 9 | 28 | 30 |
2 | Ajax | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 25 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 25 |
4 | Feyenoord | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 22 |
5 | FC Twente | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 21 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 17 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 15 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 15 |
10 | NECNijmegen | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 13 |
11 | Willem II | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 12 |
12 | Heracles | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
13 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 11 |
14 | Heerenveen | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 11 |
15 | Groningen | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 9 |
16 | PEC Zwolle | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 9 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 23 | -18 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 10 | 28 | -18 | 4 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |