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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 13
Nov 26, 2023 at 3.45pm UK
Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel
FC Utrecht

Sparta
1 - 2
Utrecht

Neghli (43')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Seuntjens (5'), Lidberg (54')
Leliendal (40'), Barkas (71'), Boussaid (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Sparta Rotterdam and FC Utrecht, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Volendam 1-4 Sparta
Sunday, November 12 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Utrecht 2-2 Excelsior
Sunday, November 12 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: Sparta Rotterdam 1-1 FC Utrecht

With Sparta having been far more inconsistent than their next opponents of late, this feels like it could be more competitive than it may have been several weeks ago. Utrecht have built up a head of steam and we feel that they will do enough to earn a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 40.27%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 35.71% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.45%) and 0-2 (5.88%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for FC Utrecht in this match.

Result
Sparta RotterdamDrawFC Utrecht
35.71% (-1.687 -1.69) 24.02% (-0.493 -0.49) 40.27% (2.178 2.18)
Both teams to score 61.21% (1.654 1.65)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.86% (2.213 2.21)41.14% (-2.214 -2.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.47% (2.215 2.22)63.53% (-2.215 -2.22)
Sparta Rotterdam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.11% (0.114 0.11)22.89% (-0.114 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.36% (0.168 0.17)56.64% (-0.169 -0.17)
FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.38% (2.03 2.03)20.62% (-2.03 -2.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.82% (3.109 3.11)53.18% (-3.109 -3.11)
Score Analysis
    Sparta Rotterdam 35.71%
    FC Utrecht 40.27%
    Draw 24.01%
Sparta RotterdamDrawFC Utrecht
2-1 @ 8.1% (-0.253 -0.25)
1-0 @ 6.96% (-0.698 -0.7)
2-0 @ 5.13% (-0.495 -0.5)
3-1 @ 3.98% (-0.111 -0.11)
3-2 @ 3.14% (0.105 0.11)
3-0 @ 2.52% (-0.233 -0.23)
4-1 @ 1.47% (-0.035 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.16% (0.043 0.04)
4-0 @ 0.93% (-0.083 -0.08)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 35.71%
1-1 @ 10.98% (-0.39 -0.39)
2-2 @ 6.4% (0.192 0.19)
0-0 @ 4.72% (-0.491 -0.49)
3-3 @ 1.65% (0.15 0.15)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 24.01%
1-2 @ 8.68% (0.232 0.23)
0-1 @ 7.45% (-0.285 -0.29)
0-2 @ 5.88% (0.138 0.14)
1-3 @ 4.57% (0.387 0.39)
2-3 @ 3.37% (0.295 0.3)
0-3 @ 3.1% (0.253 0.25)
1-4 @ 1.8% (0.25 0.25)
2-4 @ 1.33% (0.189 0.19)
0-4 @ 1.22% (0.166 0.17)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 40.27%

Head to Head
Jun 4, 2023 5pm
Sparta
0-1
Utrecht
Sparta win 0-0 on penalties

van Crooij (90+1')
Viergever (80')
van der Maarel (59'), Bozdogan (90+6')
Jun 1, 2023 8pm
Utrecht
1-2
Sparta
Douvikas (70')
Douvikas (28'), Klaiber (34')
Van Crooij (29' pen.), Lauritsen (39')
Olij (34'), Sambo (45+3')
Feb 24, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 23
Sparta
0-3
Utrecht
Jensen (74'), Boussaid (88'), Descotte (90')
Oct 23, 2022 3.45pm
Gameweek 11
Utrecht
3-1
Sparta
Redan (6'), Douvikas (48'), Klaiber (80')
Kitolano (84')
Jan 23, 2022 3.45pm
Gameweek 18
Sparta
0-3
Utrecht

Dalmau (28')
Douvikas (12'), Mahi (47'), Van de Streek (75')
Maduro (41'), van der Hoorn (48')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1110013792830
2Ajax108112391425
3FC UtrechtUtrecht108111911825
4Feyenoord1164124121222
5FC Twente116322291321
6AZ AlkmaarAZ1152422121017
7Fortuna SittardSittard115241213-117
8Go Ahead Eagles114341519-415
9NAC BredaNAC Breda115061218-615
10NECNijmegen114161610613
11Willem II113351111012
12Heracles113351222-1012
13Sparta RotterdamSparta112541217-511
14Heerenveen113261223-1111
15Groningen112361119-89
16PEC Zwolle112361121-109
17Almere CityAlmere City11137523-186
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk111191028-184


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