Eredivisie | Gameweek 13

Nov 26, 2023 at 3.45pm UK

Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel

Sparta
1 - 2
Utrecht

Neghli (43')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Seuntjens (5'), Lidberg (54')
Leliendal (40'), Barkas (71'), Boussaid (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Sparta Rotterdam and FC Utrecht, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sparta Rotterdam

All competitions

Last Game: Volendam 1-4 Sparta
Sunday, November 12 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

FC Utrecht

All competitions

Last Game: Utrecht 2-2 Excelsior
Sunday, November 12 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

We said: Sparta Rotterdam 1-1 FC Utrecht

With Sparta having been far more inconsistent than their next opponents of late, this feels like it could be more competitive than it may have been several weeks ago. Utrecht have built up a head of steam and we feel that they will do enough to earn a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 40.27%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 35.71% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.45%) and 0-2 (5.88%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for FC Utrecht in this match.

Result
Sparta Rotterdam	Draw	FC Utrecht
35.71% ( -1.69)	24.02% ( -0.49)	40.27% ( 2.18)

Both teams to score 61.21% (

1.65)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.86% (

2.21)

41.14% (

-2.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.47% (

2.22)

63.53% (

-2.22)

Sparta Rotterdam Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.11% (

0.11)

22.89% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.36% (

0.17)

56.64% (

-0.17)

FC Utrecht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.38% (

2.03)

20.62% (

-2.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.82% (

3.11)

53.18% (

-3.11)

Score Analysis

Sparta Rotterdam 35.71%

FC Utrecht 40.27%

Draw 24.01%

Sparta Rotterdam	Draw	FC Utrecht
2-1 @ 8.1% ( -0.25) 1-0 @ 6.96% ( -0.7) 2-0 @ 5.13% ( -0.5) 3-1 @ 3.98% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 3.14% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 2.52% ( -0.23) 4-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.32% Total : 35.71%	1-1 @ 10.98% ( -0.39) 2-2 @ 6.4% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 4.72% ( -0.49) 3-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.15) Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.01%	1-2 @ 8.68% ( 0.23) 0-1 @ 7.45% ( -0.29) 0-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 4.57% ( 0.39) 2-3 @ 3.37% ( 0.3) 0-3 @ 3.1% ( 0.25) 1-4 @ 1.8% ( 0.25) 2-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.19) 0-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.17) Other @ 2.88% Total : 40.27%