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FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
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NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 13
Nov 26, 2023 at 3.45pm UK
Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel
FC Utrecht

Sparta
1 - 2
Utrecht

Neghli (43')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Seuntjens (5'), Lidberg (54')
Leliendal (40'), Barkas (71'), Boussaid (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Sparta Rotterdam and FC Utrecht, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Volendam 1-4 Sparta
Sunday, November 12 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Utrecht 2-2 Excelsior
Sunday, November 12 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: Sparta Rotterdam 1-1 FC Utrecht

With Sparta having been far more inconsistent than their next opponents of late, this feels like it could be more competitive than it may have been several weeks ago. Utrecht have built up a head of steam and we feel that they will do enough to earn a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 40.27%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 35.71% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.45%) and 0-2 (5.88%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for FC Utrecht in this match.

Result
Sparta RotterdamDrawFC Utrecht
35.71% (-1.687 -1.69) 24.02% (-0.493 -0.49) 40.27% (2.178 2.18)
Both teams to score 61.21% (1.654 1.65)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.86% (2.213 2.21)41.14% (-2.214 -2.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.47% (2.215 2.22)63.53% (-2.215 -2.22)
Sparta Rotterdam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.11% (0.114 0.11)22.89% (-0.114 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.36% (0.168 0.17)56.64% (-0.169 -0.17)
FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.38% (2.03 2.03)20.62% (-2.03 -2.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.82% (3.109 3.11)53.18% (-3.109 -3.11)
Score Analysis
    Sparta Rotterdam 35.71%
    FC Utrecht 40.27%
    Draw 24.01%
Sparta RotterdamDrawFC Utrecht
2-1 @ 8.1% (-0.253 -0.25)
1-0 @ 6.96% (-0.698 -0.7)
2-0 @ 5.13% (-0.495 -0.5)
3-1 @ 3.98% (-0.111 -0.11)
3-2 @ 3.14% (0.105 0.11)
3-0 @ 2.52% (-0.233 -0.23)
4-1 @ 1.47% (-0.035 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.16% (0.043 0.04)
4-0 @ 0.93% (-0.083 -0.08)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 35.71%
1-1 @ 10.98% (-0.39 -0.39)
2-2 @ 6.4% (0.192 0.19)
0-0 @ 4.72% (-0.491 -0.49)
3-3 @ 1.65% (0.15 0.15)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 24.01%
1-2 @ 8.68% (0.232 0.23)
0-1 @ 7.45% (-0.285 -0.29)
0-2 @ 5.88% (0.138 0.14)
1-3 @ 4.57% (0.387 0.39)
2-3 @ 3.37% (0.295 0.3)
0-3 @ 3.1% (0.253 0.25)
1-4 @ 1.8% (0.25 0.25)
2-4 @ 1.33% (0.189 0.19)
0-4 @ 1.22% (0.166 0.17)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 40.27%

Head to Head
Jun 4, 2023 5pm
Sparta
0-1
Utrecht
Sparta win 0-0 on penalties

van Crooij (90+1')
Viergever (80')
van der Maarel (59'), Bozdogan (90+6')
Jun 1, 2023 8pm
Utrecht
1-2
Sparta
Douvikas (70')
Douvikas (28'), Klaiber (34')
Van Crooij (29' pen.), Lauritsen (39')
Olij (34'), Sambo (45+3')
Feb 24, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 23
Sparta
0-3
Utrecht
Jensen (74'), Boussaid (88'), Descotte (90')
Oct 23, 2022 3.45pm
Gameweek 11
Utrecht
3-1
Sparta
Redan (6'), Douvikas (48'), Klaiber (80')
Kitolano (84')
Jan 23, 2022 3.45pm
Gameweek 18
Sparta
0-3
Utrecht

Dalmau (28')
Douvikas (12'), Mahi (47'), Van de Streek (75')
Maduro (41'), van der Hoorn (48')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Steelers
@
Browns
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1211014093133
2FC UtrechtUtrecht119112011928
3Ajax1182125111426
4Feyenoord1274128131525
5FC Twente1264224111322
6AZ AlkmaarAZ125252314917
7Fortuna SittardSittard125251316-317
8NECNijmegen125161910916
9Willem II124351312115
10Go Ahead Eagles124351520-515
11NAC BredaNAC Breda125071221-915
12Heerenveen124261323-1014
13Groningen123361219-712
14PEC Zwolle123361422-812
15Heracles123361223-1112
16Sparta RotterdamSparta122551218-611
17Almere CityAlmere City12138627-216
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1211101031-214


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