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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 40.27%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 35.71% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.45%) and 0-2 (5.88%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for FC Utrecht in this match.
Result | ||
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | FC Utrecht |
35.71% ( -1.69) | 24.02% ( -0.49) | 40.27% ( 2.18) |
Both teams to score 61.21% ( 1.65) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.86% ( 2.21) | 41.14% ( -2.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.47% ( 2.22) | 63.53% ( -2.22) |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.11% ( 0.11) | 22.89% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.36% ( 0.17) | 56.64% ( -0.17) |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.38% ( 2.03) | 20.62% ( -2.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.82% ( 3.11) | 53.18% ( -3.11) |
Score Analysis |
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | FC Utrecht |
2-1 @ 8.1% ( -0.25) 1-0 @ 6.96% ( -0.7) 2-0 @ 5.13% ( -0.5) 3-1 @ 3.98% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 3.14% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 2.52% ( -0.23) 4-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.32% Total : 35.71% | 1-1 @ 10.98% ( -0.39) 2-2 @ 6.4% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 4.72% ( -0.49) 3-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.15) Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.01% | 1-2 @ 8.68% ( 0.23) 0-1 @ 7.45% ( -0.29) 0-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 4.57% ( 0.39) 2-3 @ 3.37% ( 0.3) 0-3 @ 3.1% ( 0.25) 1-4 @ 1.8% ( 0.25) 2-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.19) 0-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.17) Other @ 2.88% Total : 40.27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 37 | 9 | 28 | 30 |
2 | Ajax | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 25 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 25 |
4 | Feyenoord | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 22 |
5 | FC Twente | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 21 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 17 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 15 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 15 |
10 | NECNijmegen | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 13 |
11 | Willem II | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 12 |
12 | Heracles | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
13 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 11 |
14 | Heerenveen | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 11 |
15 | Groningen | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 9 |
16 | PEC Zwolle | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 9 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 23 | -18 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 10 | 28 | -18 | 4 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |