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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 58.46%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 20.65%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.49%) and 1-0 (8.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.48%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 1-2 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Ajax | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
58.46% ( 1.03) | 20.89% ( 0.01) | 20.65% ( -1.04) |
Both teams to score 59.97% ( -1.7) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.68% ( -1.51) | 37.32% ( 1.51) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.47% ( -1.64) | 59.54% ( 1.65) |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.44% ( -0.18) | 12.56% ( 0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.38% ( -0.38) | 38.62% ( 0.39) |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.58% ( -1.8) | 31.42% ( 1.81) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.21% ( -2.14) | 67.8% ( 2.15) |
Score Analysis |
Ajax | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
2-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 8.49% ( 0.49) 1-0 @ 8.19% ( 0.53) 3-1 @ 6.8% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 5.87% ( 0.3) 3-2 @ 3.94% ( -0.19) 4-1 @ 3.53% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 3.05% ( 0.14) 4-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.11) 5-1 @ 1.46% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.05) Other @ 4% Total : 58.46% | 1-1 @ 9.48% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 5.69% ( -0.23) 0-0 @ 3.95% ( 0.28) 3-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.16) Other @ 0.25% Total : 20.89% | 1-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.18) 0-1 @ 4.57% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.21) 1-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.18) 0-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.62% Total : 20.66% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 4 | 19 | 18 |
2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 2 | 14 | 16 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 13 |
4 | FC Twente | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 11 |
5 | Feyenoord | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 9 |
6 | Groningen | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 9 |
7 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 9 |
8 | Heracles | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 9 |
9 | Willem II | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 8 |
10 | Ajax | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 7 |
11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 7 |
12 | Heerenveen | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 7 |
13 | NECNijmegen | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 6 |
14 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 6 |
15 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 6 |
16 | PEC Zwolle | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 4 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 17 | -15 | 2 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 17 | -14 | 0 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |