Eredivisie | Gameweek 22
Feb 18, 2024 at 1.30pm UK
Johan Cruijff Arena
Ajax2 - 2Nijmegen
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Ajax 2-2 Bodo/Glimt
Thursday, February 15 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, February 15 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 2-0 Nijmegen
Friday, February 9 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Friday, February 9 at 7pm in Eredivisie
We said: Ajax 4-1 NEC
Although NEC suffered defeat last time out, they will have every confidence of capitalising on the inconsistences of their hosts. Nevertheless, Ajax's dramatic comeback on Thursday could provide them with the extra belief that they need to put together a more ruthless performance in this fixture. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 67.64%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for NEC had a probability of 15.44%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.88%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.97%), while for a NEC win it was 1-2 (4.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ajax | Draw | NEC |
67.64% ( 1.5) | 16.92% | 15.44% ( -1.5) |
| Both teams to score 64.51% ( -3.83) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
