MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 00:18:51| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Ajax
Eredivisie | Gameweek 22
Feb 18, 2024 at 1.30pm UK
Johan Cruijff Arena
NEC

Ajax
2 - 2
Nijmegen

Brobbey (7'), Borges (79')
Brobbey (67'), Hlynsson (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Hato (61' og.), Rober (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and NEC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: Ajax 2-2 Bodo/Glimt
Thursday, February 15 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

NEC

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 2-0 Nijmegen
Friday, February 9 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: Ajax 4-1 NEC

 Although NEC suffered defeat last time out, they will have every confidence of capitalising on the inconsistences of their hosts. Nevertheless, Ajax's dramatic comeback on Thursday could provide them with the extra belief that they need to put together a more ruthless performance in this fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 67.64%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for NEC had a probability of 15.44%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.88%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.97%), while for a NEC win it was 1-2 (4.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
AjaxDrawNEC
67.64% (1.501 1.5) 16.92%15.44% (-1.499 -1.5)
Both teams to score 64.51% (-3.827 -3.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.05% (-3.131 -3.13)26.95% (3.135 3.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.58% (-4.069 -4.07)47.42% (4.071 4.07)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.6% (-0.514 -0.51)7.4% (0.517 0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.32% (-1.361 -1.36)26.68% (1.363 1.36)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.67% (-3.724 -3.72)30.33% (3.726 3.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.49% (-4.681 -4.68)66.51% (4.686 4.69)
Score Analysis
    Ajax 67.64%
    NEC 15.44%
    Draw 16.92%
AjaxDrawNEC
2-1 @ 9.08% (0.394 0.39)
3-1 @ 7.88% (0.132 0.13)
2-0 @ 7.61% (1.051 1.05)
3-0 @ 6.6% (0.754 0.75)
1-0 @ 5.85% (0.943 0.94)
4-1 @ 5.13% (-0.053999999999999 -0.05)
3-2 @ 4.7% (-0.428 -0.43)
4-0 @ 4.3% (0.384 0.38)
4-2 @ 3.06% (-0.372 -0.37)
5-1 @ 2.67% (-0.103 -0.1)
5-0 @ 2.24% (0.144 0.14)
5-2 @ 1.59% (-0.243 -0.24)
4-3 @ 1.22% (-0.298 -0.3)
6-1 @ 1.16% (-0.078 -0.08)
6-0 @ 0.97% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 67.64%
1-1 @ 6.97% (0.483 0.48)
2-2 @ 5.42% (-0.334 -0.33)
0-0 @ 2.25% (0.413 0.41)
3-3 @ 1.87% (-0.394 -0.39)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 16.92%
1-2 @ 4.16% (-0.138 -0.14)
0-1 @ 2.68% (0.253 0.25)
2-3 @ 2.15% (-0.384 -0.38)
1-3 @ 1.66% (-0.242 -0.24)
0-2 @ 1.6% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 15.44%

How you voted: Ajax vs Nijmegen

Ajax
76.2%
Draw
9.5%
NEC
14.3%
21
Head to Head
Dec 3, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 14
Nijmegen
1-2
Ajax
Tavsan (90')
Hlynsson (57'), Borges (88')
> Preview
Mar 5, 2023 3.45pm
Gameweek 24
Ajax
1-0
Nijmegen
Kudus (52')
> Preview
Jan 8, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 15
Nijmegen
1-1
Ajax
Dimata (52')
Klaassen (38')
> Preview
Apr 23, 2022 3.30pm
Gameweek 27
Nijmegen
0-1
Ajax

Schone (55'), Guth (59')
Brobbey (88')
Blind (53')
> Preview
Aug 14, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 1
Ajax
5-0
Nijmegen
Haller (5'), Mazraoui (9'), Van Rooij (13' og.), Tadic (19', 38')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV17150259134645
2Ajax17123237162139
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1711333428636
4Feyenoord17105240211935
5AZ AlkmaarAZ17102531171432
6FC Twente1794432211131
7Go Ahead Eagles177463027325
8Fortuna SittardSittard177462525025
9Willem II176472119222
10NAC BredaNAC Breda177191927-822
11Heerenveen176381731-1421
12NECNijmegen1752102324-117
13PEC Zwolle174581626-1017
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta172691426-1212
17Almere CityAlmere City1723121037-279
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1714121841-237
> Eredivisie Full Table


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