Eredivisie | Gameweek 21

Feb 9, 2024 at 7pm UK

Mandemakers Stadion

RKC Waalwijk
2 - 0
Nijmegen

Min (7', 22' pen.)
Meijers (51'), Meijers (51'), Lelieveld (90+4')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Nuytinck (63'), Sandler (67'), Proper (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Eredivisie clash between RKC Waalwijk and NEC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

RKC Waalwijk

All competitions

Last Game: FC Twente 3-0 RKC Waalwijk
Saturday, February 3 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

NEC

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Nijmegen 3-0 ADO Den Haag
Tuesday, February 6 at 7pm in KNVB Beker

Goals
for

Top scorers

RKC have been enduring an awful run of form recently, and we cannot imagine their fortunes changing against in-form opposition on Friday night. NEC will be full of confidence following their progression in the KNVB Beker, so we are expecting maximum points for the visitors at the Mandemakers Stadion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RKC Waalwijk win with a probability of 38.15%. A win for NEC had a probability of 37.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.66%) and 2-0 (5.72%). The likeliest NEC win was 1-2 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RKC Waalwijk would win this match.

Result
RKC Waalwijk	Draw	NEC
38.15% ( 0.15)	24.44% ( -0.03)	37.41% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 59.84% (

0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.02% (

0.17)

42.99% (

-0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.61% (

0.17)

65.39% (

-0.17)

RKC Waalwijk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.54% (

0.15)

22.46% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44% (

0.23)

56% (

-0.23)

NEC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.16% (

0.02)

22.84% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.44% (

0.02)

56.56% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

RKC Waalwijk 38.15%

NEC 37.41%

Draw 24.44%

RKC Waalwijk	Draw	NEC
2-1 @ 8.45% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.66% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.72% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.21% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.11% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.85% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.57% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.37% Total : 38.15%	1-1 @ 11.31% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.24% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.13% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.44%	1-2 @ 8.35% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.57% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 4.11% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.07% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.52% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.13% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.29% Total : 37.41%