Eredivisie | Gameweek 18

Jan 20, 2024 at 3.30pm UK

Sportpark De Weeren

Nijmegen
1 - 0
FC Twente

Verdonk (49')

FT(HT: 0-0)

van Hoorenbeeck (69')
Bruns (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between NEC and FC Twente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

NEC

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Nijmegen 2-1 Go Ahead Eagles
Wednesday, January 17 at 5.45pm in KNVB Beker

Goals
for

Top scorers

FC Twente

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: PSV 3-1 FC Twente
Wednesday, January 17 at 8pm in KNVB Beker

Goals
for

Top scorers

FC Twente's dominance of this fixture makes them huge favourites to come away with maximum points here, and while we expect NEC to put a good fight, we can see the away side just about doing enough to get the job done. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 47.47%. A win for NEC had a probability of 30.29% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.47%) and 0-2 (6.13%). The likeliest NEC win was 2-1 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
NEC	Draw	FC Twente
30.29% ( 0.18)	22.25% ( 0.21)	47.47% ( -0.39)

Both teams to score 65.68% (

-0.69)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.61% (

-0.95)

34.39% (

0.95)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.69% (

-1.07)

56.31% (

1.08)

NEC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.28% (

-0.36)

22.72% (

0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.61% (

-0.54)

56.39% (

0.54)

FC Twente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.99% (

-0.49)

15.01% (

0.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.52% (

-0.93)

43.47% (

0.94)

Score Analysis

NEC 30.29%

FC Twente 47.47%

Draw 22.25%

NEC	Draw	FC Twente
2-1 @ 7.1% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 3.74% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 3.51% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.33% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 1.85% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.3% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.17% Total : 30.29%	1-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 6.73% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 3.41% ( 0.16) 3-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.41% Total : 22.25%	1-2 @ 9.09% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 6.47% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 6.13% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 5.75% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 4.26% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 3.88% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.72% ( -0.09) 2-4 @ 2.02% ( -0.09) 0-4 @ 1.84% ( -0.04) 1-5 @ 1.03% ( -0.05) 3-4 @ 1% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.29% Total : 47.47%