MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 18:04:46| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
NEC
Eredivisie | Gameweek 16
Dec 15, 2023 at 7pm UK
Sportpark De Weeren
Fortuna Sittard

Nijmegen
4 - 1
Sittard

Mattsson (33', 70'), Ogawa (45+2'), Hansen (75')
Proper (16'), Tavsan (42'), Schone (86')
Hoedemakers (49')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Sierhuis (69')
Guth (53'), Pinto (83')
Noslin (24')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Eredivisie clash between NEC and Fortuna Sittard, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

NEC

All competitions
Last Game: PEC Zwolle 1-3 Nijmegen
Saturday, December 9 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Fortuna Sittard

All competitions
Last Game: Sittard 1-0 RKC Waalwijk
Sunday, December 10 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: NEC 2-1 Fortuna Sittard

 NEC were impressive in their away wins at Alkmaar and Zwolle over the past week, meaning the hosts on Friday will be confident of recording another maximum. Sittard have been woeful on the road, and despite back-to-back victories at the start of the month, we cannot imagine the visitors earning anything from their trip to Goffertstadion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 52.01%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 25.43% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.24%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 1-2 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that NEC would win this match.

Result
NECDrawFortuna Sittard
52.01% (0.263 0.26) 22.55% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09) 25.43% (-0.169 -0.17)
Both teams to score 60.39% (0.16 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.4% (0.288 0.29)39.59% (-0.288 -0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.05% (0.3 0.3)61.94% (-0.299 -0.3)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.65% (0.193 0.19)15.35% (-0.193 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.89% (0.361 0.36)44.11% (-0.36 -0.36)
Fortuna Sittard Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.34% (0.024999999999991 0.02)28.66% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.53% (0.031000000000006 0.03)64.47% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    NEC 52.01%
    Fortuna Sittard 25.43%
    Draw 22.55%
NECDrawFortuna Sittard
2-1 @ 9.65% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.24% (-0.055 -0.05)
2-0 @ 7.72%
3-1 @ 6.03% (0.045 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.83% (0.032 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.77% (0.03 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.83% (0.039 0.04)
4-0 @ 2.26% (0.03 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.77% (0.026 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.06% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 52.01%
1-1 @ 10.3% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
2-2 @ 6.03% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.4% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.57% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 22.55%
1-2 @ 6.44% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-1 @ 5.5% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
0-2 @ 3.43% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.68% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.51% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.43% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 25.43%

How you voted: Nijmegen vs Sittard

NEC
68.2%
Draw
22.7%
Fortuna Sittard
9.1%
22
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> Preview
Oct 2, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 7
Sittard
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> Preview
Feb 23, 2018 7pm
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1-1
Sittard
Groeneveld (82')
Sturing (57'), Dijkstra (63')
Cantwell (78')
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rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1211014093133
2FC UtrechtUtrecht119112011928
3Ajax1182125111426
4Feyenoord1274128131525
5FC Twente1264224111322
6AZ AlkmaarAZ125252314917
7Fortuna SittardSittard125251316-317
8NECNijmegen125161910916
9Willem II124351312115
10Go Ahead Eagles124351520-515
11NAC BredaNAC Breda125071221-915
12Heerenveen124261323-1014
13Groningen123361219-712
14PEC Zwolle123361422-812
15Heracles123361223-1112
16Sparta RotterdamSparta122551218-611
17Almere CityAlmere City12138627-216
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1211101031-214
> Eredivisie Full Table


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