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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 49.96%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 26.72% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.72%) and 0-2 (7.74%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
26.72% ( 0.45) | 23.32% ( 0.22) | 49.96% ( -0.67) |
Both teams to score 58.97% ( -0.33) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.96% ( -0.62) | 42.04% ( 0.62) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.55% ( -0.63) | 64.45% ( 0.63) |
RKC Waalwijk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.02% ( 0.01) | 28.98% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.12% ( 0.01) | 64.88% ( -0.01) |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.03% ( -0.47) | 16.97% ( 0.48) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.93% ( -0.85) | 47.06% ( 0.85) |
Score Analysis |
RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
2-1 @ 6.69% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 3.77% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 2.76% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.56% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.4% Total : 26.72% | 1-1 @ 10.8% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.32% | 1-2 @ 9.58% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 8.72% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 7.74% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 5.67% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 4.58% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 3.51% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 2.51% ( -0.09) 0-4 @ 2.03% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 1.56% ( -0.05) Other @ 4.07% Total : 49.96% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 13 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 45 | 9 | 36 | 36 |
2 | Feyenoord | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 28 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
4 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
5 | FC Twente | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 25 |
6 | Go Ahead Eagles | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 18 |
7 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
9 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
10 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 14 |
13 | Heracles | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 13 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Groningen | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 30 | -24 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 33 | -21 | 5 |
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