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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Fortuna Sittard
Eredivisie | Gameweek 24
Mar 3, 2024 at 3.45pm UK
Fortuna Sittard Stadion
Excelsior

Sittard
5 - 2
Excelsior

Lonwijk (13'), Sierhuis (15', 29', 34'), Guth (68')
Lonwijk (2'), Pinto (62')
FT(HT: 4-0)
Sanches Fernandes (61'), Omorowa (82')
Baas (36'), Zagre (58'), Uddenas (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Fortuna Sittard and SBV Excelsior, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Excelsior 1-2 Vitesse
Sunday, February 25 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

We said: Fortuna Sittard 2-1 SBV Excelsior

Clean sheets have been few and far between for both teams, so we expect an entertaining affair here with the home side just about coming out on top in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 52.11%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 25.33% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 (6.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fortuna Sittard would win this match.

Result
Fortuna SittardDrawSBV Excelsior
52.11% (0.29 0.29) 22.56% (-0.183 -0.18) 25.33% (-0.105 -0.11)
Both teams to score 60.26% (0.534 0.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.27% (0.757 0.76)39.73% (-0.755 -0.76)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.92% (0.782 0.78)62.08% (-0.77999999999999 -0.78)
Fortuna Sittard Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.64% (0.36999999999999 0.37)15.36% (-0.369 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.86% (0.688 0.69)44.14% (-0.687 -0.69)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.2% (0.322 0.32)28.81% (-0.321 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.35% (0.4 0.4)64.66% (-0.398 -0.4)
Score Analysis
    Fortuna Sittard 52.11%
    SBV Excelsior 25.33%
    Draw 22.56%
Fortuna SittardDrawSBV Excelsior
2-1 @ 9.66% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-0 @ 8.29% (-0.185 -0.19)
2-0 @ 7.76% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-1 @ 6.03% (0.074 0.07)
3-0 @ 4.85% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.76% (0.079 0.08)
4-1 @ 2.83% (0.071 0.07)
4-0 @ 2.27% (0.036 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.76% (0.059 0.06)
5-1 @ 1.06% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 52.11%
1-1 @ 10.31% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-2 @ 6.01% (0.052 0.05)
0-0 @ 4.43% (-0.157 -0.16)
3-3 @ 1.56% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 22.56%
1-2 @ 6.42% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-1 @ 5.51% (-0.145 -0.15)
0-2 @ 3.43% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.66% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.5% (0.043 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.42% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 25.33%

How you voted: Sittard vs Excelsior

Fortuna Sittard
88.9%
Draw
11.1%
SBV Excelsior
0.0%
9
Head to Head
Aug 26, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 3
Excelsior
2-2
Sittard
Agrafiotis (30'), Uddenas (73')
Baas (76')
Duarte (68'), Menaour Belkheir (78')
Dijks (26'), Guth (64'), Buijs (90+4')
May 21, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 33
Excelsior
3-0
Sittard
Pierie (59'), Driouech (73'), Goudmijn (85')
Azarkan (49')

Embalo (55'), Cox (58')
Sep 17, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 7
Sittard
1-0
Excelsior
Vita (87')
Feb 10, 2019 11.15am
Gameweek 21
Sittard
4-1
Excelsior
Lamprou (13', 33'), Diemers (64'), Novakovich (90')
Ciranni (77'), Rodriguez (94')
Messaoud (55')
Fortes (25'), Oude Kotte (32')
Aug 11, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Excelsior
1-1
Sittard
Mattheij (32')
Koolwijk (22'), Schouten (79'), Mattheij (93')
Bruins (57')
Smeets (53')
Heerings (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1110013792830
2Ajax108112391425
3FC UtrechtUtrecht108111911825
4Feyenoord1164124121222
5FC Twente116322291321
6AZ AlkmaarAZ1152422121017
7Fortuna SittardSittard115241213-117
8Go Ahead Eagles114341519-415
9NAC BredaNAC Breda115061218-615
10NECNijmegen114161610613
11Willem II113351111012
12Heracles113351222-1012
13Sparta RotterdamSparta112541217-511
14Heerenveen113261223-1111
15Groningen112361119-89
16PEC Zwolle112361121-109
17Almere CityAlmere City11137523-186
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk111191028-184


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