MX23RW : Saturday, June 1 04:31:47| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
Fortuna Sittard
Eredivisie | Gameweek 24
Mar 3, 2024 at 3.45pm UK
Fortuna Sittard Stadion
Excelsior

Sittard
5 - 2
Excelsior

Lonwijk (13'), Sierhuis (15', 29', 34'), Guth (68')
Lonwijk (2'), Pinto (62')
FT(HT: 4-0)
Sanches Fernandes (61'), Omorowa (82')
Baas (36'), Zagre (58'), Uddenas (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Fortuna Sittard and SBV Excelsior, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Excelsior 1-2 Vitesse
Sunday, February 25 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

We said: Fortuna Sittard 2-1 SBV Excelsior

Clean sheets have been few and far between for both teams, so we expect an entertaining affair here with the home side just about coming out on top in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 52.11%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 25.33% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 (6.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fortuna Sittard would win this match.

Result
Fortuna SittardDrawSBV Excelsior
52.11% (0.29 0.29) 22.56% (-0.183 -0.18) 25.33% (-0.105 -0.11)
Both teams to score 60.26% (0.534 0.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.27% (0.757 0.76)39.73% (-0.755 -0.76)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.92% (0.782 0.78)62.08% (-0.77999999999999 -0.78)
Fortuna Sittard Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.64% (0.36999999999999 0.37)15.36% (-0.369 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.86% (0.688 0.69)44.14% (-0.687 -0.69)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.2% (0.322 0.32)28.81% (-0.321 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.35% (0.4 0.4)64.66% (-0.398 -0.4)
Score Analysis
    Fortuna Sittard 52.11%
    SBV Excelsior 25.33%
    Draw 22.56%
Fortuna SittardDrawSBV Excelsior
2-1 @ 9.66% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-0 @ 8.29% (-0.185 -0.19)
2-0 @ 7.76% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-1 @ 6.03% (0.074 0.07)
3-0 @ 4.85% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.76% (0.079 0.08)
4-1 @ 2.83% (0.071 0.07)
4-0 @ 2.27% (0.036 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.76% (0.059 0.06)
5-1 @ 1.06% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 52.11%
1-1 @ 10.31% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-2 @ 6.01% (0.052 0.05)
0-0 @ 4.43% (-0.157 -0.16)
3-3 @ 1.56% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 22.56%
1-2 @ 6.42% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-1 @ 5.51% (-0.145 -0.15)
0-2 @ 3.43% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.66% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.5% (0.043 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.42% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 25.33%

How you voted: Sittard vs Excelsior

Fortuna Sittard
88.9%
Draw
11.1%
SBV Excelsior
0.0%
9
Head to Head
Aug 26, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 3
Excelsior
2-2
Sittard
Agrafiotis (30'), Uddenas (73')
Baas (76')
Duarte (68'), Menaour Belkheir (78')
Dijks (26'), Guth (64'), Buijs (90+4')
May 21, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 33
Excelsior
3-0
Sittard
Pierie (59'), Driouech (73'), Goudmijn (85')
Azarkan (49')

Embalo (55'), Cox (58')
Sep 17, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 7
Sittard
1-0
Excelsior
Vita (87')
Feb 10, 2019 11.15am
Gameweek 21
Sittard
4-1
Excelsior
Lamprou (13', 33'), Diemers (64'), Novakovich (90')
Ciranni (77'), Rodriguez (94')
Messaoud (55')
Fortes (25'), Oude Kotte (32')
Aug 11, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Excelsior
1-1
Sittard
Mattheij (32')
Koolwijk (22'), Schouten (79'), Mattheij (93')
Bruins (57')
Smeets (53')
Heerings (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPSV EindhovenPSV342941111219091
2Feyenoord34266292266684
3FC Twente34216769363369
4AZ AlkmaarAZ34198770393165
5Ajax341511874611356
6NECNijmegen341411968511753
7FC UtrechtUtrecht341311104947250
8Sparta RotterdamSparta34147135148349
9Go Ahead Eagles341210124746146
10Fortuna SittardSittard34911143756-1938
11Heerenveen34107175370-1737
12PEC Zwolle3499164567-2236
13Almere CityAlmere City34713143359-2634
14Heracles3496194174-3333
15RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3478193856-1829
16SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior34611175073-2329
RFC VolendamVolendam3447233488-5419
RVitesse3466223074-446


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!