Eredivisie | Gameweek 18

Jan 19, 2024 at 7pm UK

Van Donge & De Roo Stadion

Excelsior
3 - 0
Heerenveen

Driouech (18'), Parrott (24'), Lamprou (63')
Lamprou (34'), Driouech (57')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Haye (22')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Eredivisie clash between SBV Excelsior and Heerenveen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

SBV Excelsior

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Excelsior 0-2 Groningen
Tuesday, January 16 at 7pm in KNVB Beker

Goals
for

Heerenveen

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: PEC Zwolle 2-2 Heerenveen
Saturday, January 13 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

We said: SBV Excelsior 1-1 Heerenveen

Excelsior will be low on confidence following their exit of the KNVB Cup at the hands of second-tier side Groningen in their last fixture. Heerenveen battled back to earn a point at Zwolle last time out, and we are expecting the same result for the visitors on Friday night in Rotterdam. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 44.72%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 31.73% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.63%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result
SBV Excelsior	Draw	Heerenveen
31.73% ( -0.04)	23.54% ( -0.03)	44.72% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 61.67% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60% (

0.11)

39.99% (

-0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.64% (

0.12)

62.35% (

-0.12)

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.4% (

0.03)

24.6% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.9% (

0.04)

59.1% (

-0.05)

Heerenveen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.79% (

0.07)

18.2% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.78% (

0.12)

49.22% (

-0.13)

Score Analysis

SBV Excelsior 31.73%

Heerenveen 44.72%

Draw 23.53%

SBV Excelsior	Draw	Heerenveen
2-1 @ 7.5% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.28% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 4.4% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.51% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.99% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.06% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.23% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 2.72% Total : 31.73%	1-1 @ 10.69% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.39% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.48% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.53%	1-2 @ 9.11% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.63% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.5% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.17% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.69% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.63% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.2% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.57% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.55% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.67% Total : 44.72%