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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 60.68%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Almere City had a probability of 18.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.09%) and 1-0 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.4%), while for an Almere City win it was 1-2 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Heerenveen would win this match.
Result | ||
Heerenveen | Draw | Almere City |
60.68% (![]() | 20.47% (![]() | 18.84% (![]() |
Both teams to score 58.23% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.86% (![]() | 38.13% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.59% (![]() | 60.4% (![]() |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.81% (![]() | 12.18% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.16% (![]() | 37.83% (![]() |
Almere City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.31% (![]() | 33.68% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.66% (![]() | 70.33% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Heerenveen | Draw | Almere City |
2-1 @ 9.89% (![]() 2-0 @ 9.09% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 8.64% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.94% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 6.38% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.78% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.65% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 3.36% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.99% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.54% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.41% ( ![]() Other @ 4.01% Total : 60.68% | 1-1 @ 9.4% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.38% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.1% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.37% ( ![]() Other @ 0.22% Total : 20.47% | 1-2 @ 5.12% (![]() 0-1 @ 4.47% 0-2 @ 2.43% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.95% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.86% ( ![]() Other @ 3.02% Total : 18.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |