MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 16:27:12| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Excelsior
Eredivisie | Gameweek 21
Feb 10, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Van Donge & De Roo Stadion
FC Twente logo

Excelsior
0 - 3
FC Twente


Sandra (53')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Rots (2'), van Wolfswinkel (5', 13')
Brenet (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between SBV Excelsior and FC Twente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: FC Twente 3-0 RKC Waalwijk
Saturday, February 3 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: SBV Excelsior 1-2 FC Twente

Given Excelsior's home struggles and Twente's bad form on the road, Saturday's contest could easily swing either way, but we are backing the visitors to just about get the job done in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 58.73%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 20.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.98%) and 0-1 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.77%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 2-1 (5.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.

Result
SBV ExcelsiorDrawFC Twente
20.1% (0.185 0.18) 21.17% (0.131 0.13) 58.73% (-0.315 -0.31)
Both teams to score 58.03% (-0.146 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.56% (-0.338 -0.34)39.44% (0.341 0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.22% (-0.35599999999999 -0.36)61.78% (0.357 0.36)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.83% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)33.17% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.22% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)69.77% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
FC Twente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.84% (-0.20100000000001 -0.2)13.16% (0.203 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.15% (-0.412 -0.41)39.85% (0.413 0.41)
Score Analysis
    SBV Excelsior 20.11%
    FC Twente 58.73%
    Draw 21.17%
SBV ExcelsiorDrawFC Twente
2-1 @ 5.39% (0.04 0.04)
1-0 @ 4.82% (0.074 0.07)
2-0 @ 2.66% (0.04 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.01% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 1.98% (0.014 0.01)
3-0 @ 0.98% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 20.11%
1-1 @ 9.77% (0.077 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.47% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 4.37% (0.069 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.36% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 21.17%
1-2 @ 9.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 8.98% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-1 @ 8.85% (0.074 0.07)
1-3 @ 6.7% (-0.049 -0.05)
0-3 @ 6.07% (-0.042000000000001 -0.04)
2-3 @ 3.7% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-4 @ 3.4% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-4 @ 3.08% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.87% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-5 @ 1.38% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-5 @ 1.25% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 58.73%

How you voted: Excelsior vs FC Twente

SBV Excelsior
5.9%
Draw
5.9%
FC Twente
88.2%
17
Head to Head
Dec 8, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 15
FC Twente
4-2
Excelsior
Ugalde (45'), Van Wolfswinkel (59' pen., 80'), Taha (85')
Smal (67'), Propper (77')
Parrott (9'), Nieuwpoort (13')
Naujoks (24'), Dijkhuizen (25'), Driouech (26'), Horemans (57'), Nieuwpoort (59')
Zagre (24')
Apr 1, 2023 5.45pm
Aug 31, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 3
FC Twente
4-0
Excelsior
Cleonise (1'), Tzolis (8'), Cerny (62', 90+2')
Dec 23, 2017 7.45pm
Oct 27, 2017 7pm
FC Twente
1-3
Excelsior
Boere (2')
Cuevas (38'), Lam (87')
Faik (41'), Massop (74'), Karami (80')
Caenepeel (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1110013792830
2Ajax108112391425
3FC UtrechtUtrecht108111911825
4Feyenoord1164124121222
5FC Twente116322291321
6AZ AlkmaarAZ1152422121017
7Fortuna SittardSittard115241213-117
8Go Ahead Eagles114341519-415
9NAC BredaNAC Breda115061218-615
10NECNijmegen114161610613
11Willem II113351111012
12Heracles113351222-1012
13Sparta RotterdamSparta112541217-511
14Heerenveen113261223-1111
15Groningen112361119-89
16PEC Zwolle112361121-109
17Almere CityAlmere City11137523-186
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk111191028-184


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