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Willem II
Eredivisie | Gameweek 18
Jan 24, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Yanmar Stadion
Fortuna Sittard

Almere City
0 - 0
Sittard


van La Parra (82'), Barbet (84')
FT

Siovas (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Almere City and Fortuna Sittard, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Almere City 1-2 Sittard
Wednesday, January 17 at 7pm in KNVB Beker

We said: Almere City 1-1 Fortuna Sittard

There is little to choose between the sides, and this weekend's clash could easily go either way. That said, we are backing a share of the spoils with honours even come the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almere City win with a probability of 39.31%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 35.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Almere City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.08%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 1-2 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Almere CityDrawFortuna Sittard
39.31% (-0.177 -0.18) 24.73% (0.132 0.13) 35.96% (0.049000000000007 0.05)
Both teams to score 58.64% (-0.47499999999999 -0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.51% (-0.617 -0.62)44.49% (0.622 0.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.14% (-0.601 -0.6)66.86% (0.605 0.61)
Almere City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.46% (-0.35900000000001 -0.36)22.54% (0.361 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.88% (-0.535 -0.53)56.12% (0.54 0.54)
Fortuna Sittard Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.7% (-0.25700000000001 -0.26)24.3% (0.263 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.33% (-0.37 -0.37)58.68% (0.375 0.38)
Score Analysis
    Almere City 39.31%
    Fortuna Sittard 35.96%
    Draw 24.73%
Almere CityDrawFortuna Sittard
2-1 @ 8.6% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.16% (0.131 0.13)
2-0 @ 6.08% (0.033 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.27% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.02% (-0.063 -0.06)
3-0 @ 3.02% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.59% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.13% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.12% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 39.31%
1-1 @ 11.54% (0.1 0.1)
2-2 @ 6.08% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 5.48% (0.146 0.15)
3-3 @ 1.43% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.73%
1-2 @ 8.17% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.75% (0.149 0.15)
0-2 @ 5.48% (0.065 0.07)
1-3 @ 3.85% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.87% (-0.05 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.59% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.36% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.02% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-4 @ 0.91% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 35.96%

How you voted: Almere City vs Sittard

Almere City
53.6%
Draw
28.6%
Fortuna Sittard
17.9%
28
Head to Head
Jan 17, 2024 7pm
Round of 16
Almere City
1-2
Sittard
Hansen (90+2')
Sierhuis (25', 42')
Aug 19, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 2
Sittard
2-1
Almere City
Akujobi (8' og.), Rosier (24')
Rosier (50'), Sierhuis (90+6'), Robberechts (90+2')
Robinet (33')
Floranus (12'), Koopmeiners (26')
Mar 30, 2018 7pm
Almere City
1-4
Sittard
MacDonald (51')
van Buuren (85')
Vidigal (2', 6', 26'), Stokkers (35')
Sep 1, 2017 7pm
Sittard
2-1
Almere City
Askovski (4', 43')
Askovski (2'), Malsa (88')
Valpoort (80')
Owusu (31'), Salasiwa (45'), Mirani (55'), Mac-Intosch (77'), Valpoort (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1211014093133
2FC UtrechtUtrecht119112011928
3Ajax1182125111426
4Feyenoord1274128131525
5FC Twente1264224111322
6AZ AlkmaarAZ125252314917
7Fortuna SittardSittard125251316-317
8NECNijmegen125161910916
9Willem II124351312115
10Go Ahead Eagles124351520-515
11NAC BredaNAC Breda125071221-915
12Heerenveen124261323-1014
13Groningen123361219-712
14PEC Zwolle123361422-812
15Heracles123361223-1112
16Sparta RotterdamSparta122551218-611
17Almere CityAlmere City12138627-216
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1211101031-214


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