MX23RW : Thursday, November 7 19:48:17| >> :120:15761:15761:
Aston Villa logo
Conference League | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Apr 11, 2024 at 8pm UK
Villa Park
Lille

Aston Villa
2 - 1
Lille

Watkins (13'), McGinn (56')
Luiz (49'), Tielemans (77'), Martinez (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Diakite (84')
Fonseca (45+1')

The Match

Match Report

Aston Villa record a 2-1 win over Lille in the first leg of their Europa Conference League quarter-final tie on Thursday night.

Team News

Unai Emery selects his Aston Villa XI for the first leg of the Europa Conference League quarter-final against Lille.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Aston Villa and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 38.8%. A win for Lille had a probability of 36.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8%) and 2-0 (5.94%). The likeliest Lille win was 1-2 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Aston Villa in this match.

Result
Aston VillaDrawLille
38.8% (0.036999999999999 0.04) 24.66% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 36.55% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Both teams to score 58.98% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.93% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)44.07% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.55% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)66.45% (0.036999999999992 0.04)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.39% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)22.61% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.77%56.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.21% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)23.79% (0.043000000000003 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.06% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)57.94% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 38.8%
    Lille 36.55%
    Draw 24.65%
Aston VillaDrawLille
2-1 @ 8.54% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-0 @ 8% (0.014 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.94% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.23% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 3.04% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 2.95% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.57% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.13%
4-0 @ 1.1% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 38.8%
1-1 @ 11.48% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.13% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-0 @ 5.38% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.65%
1-2 @ 8.25% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.73% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 5.55% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 3.95% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.93% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.66% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.42% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.05% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 0.95% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 36.55%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Lille

Aston Villa
68.5%
Draw
22.6%
Lille
8.9%
124
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool108111961325
2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Chelsea105322012818
5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Fulham104331413115
10Bournemouth104331312115
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
12Brentford104151920-113
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


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