MX23RW : Saturday, November 23 07:31:27| >> :600:533029:533029:
Aston Villa logo
Conference League | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Apr 11, 2024 at 8pm UK
Villa Park
Lille

Aston Villa
2 - 1
Lille

Watkins (13'), McGinn (56')
Luiz (49'), Tielemans (77'), Martinez (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Diakite (84')
Fonseca (45+1')

The Match

Match Report

Aston Villa record a 2-1 win over Lille in the first leg of their Europa Conference League quarter-final tie on Thursday night.

Team News

Unai Emery selects his Aston Villa XI for the first leg of the Europa Conference League quarter-final against Lille.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Aston Villa and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 38.8%. A win for Lille had a probability of 36.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8%) and 2-0 (5.94%). The likeliest Lille win was 1-2 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Aston Villa in this match.

Result
Aston VillaDrawLille
38.8% (0.036999999999999 0.04) 24.66% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 36.55% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Both teams to score 58.98% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.93% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)44.07% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.55% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)66.45% (0.036999999999992 0.04)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.39% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)22.61% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.77%56.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.21% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)23.79% (0.043000000000003 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.06% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)57.94% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 38.8%
    Lille 36.55%
    Draw 24.65%
Aston VillaDrawLille
2-1 @ 8.54% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-0 @ 8% (0.014 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.94% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.23% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 3.04% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 2.95% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.57% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.13%
4-0 @ 1.1% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 38.8%
1-1 @ 11.48% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.13% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-0 @ 5.38% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.65%
1-2 @ 8.25% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.73% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 5.55% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 3.95% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.93% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.66% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.42% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.05% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 0.95% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 36.55%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Lille

Aston Villa
68.5%
Draw
22.6%
Lille
8.9%
124
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


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