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Premier League | Gameweek 32
Apr 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
Villa Park
Brentford logo

Aston Villa
3 - 3
Brentford

Watkins (38', 80'), Rogers (46')
Carlos (84'), Luiz (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Jorgensen (59'), Mbeumo (61'), Wissa (68')
Damsgaard (42'), Wissa (53')

The Match

Match Report

Relegation-threatened Brentford come from two goals behind to draw 3-3 with Champions League-chasing Aston Villa at Villa Park.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Brentford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Man City 4-1 Aston Villa
Wednesday, April 3 at 8.15pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 0-0 Brighton
Wednesday, April 3 at 7.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 65.56%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Brentford had a probability of 15.67%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.52%) and 1-0 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.57%), while for a Brentford win it was 1-2 (4.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result
Aston VillaDrawBrentford
65.56% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04) 18.76% (0.02 0.02) 15.67% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 57.61% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.2% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)35.79% (0.050000000000004 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.13% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)57.87% (0.056000000000004 0.06)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.78% (-0.02600000000001 -0.03)10.22% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.47% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)33.52% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.17% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)35.83% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.39% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)72.6% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 65.56%
    Brentford 15.67%
    Draw 18.76%
Aston VillaDrawBrentford
2-1 @ 9.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 9.52% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-0 @ 8.35% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.43% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.24% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
4-1 @ 4.24% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 4.13% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.82% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 2.18% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.93% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.88% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
5-2 @ 0.99% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 4.07%
Total : 65.56%
1-1 @ 8.57% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.02% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 3.66% (0.01 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.31% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 18.76%
1-2 @ 4.4% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-1 @ 3.76% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.93% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.72% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 1.51% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 15.67%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Brentford

Aston Villa
73.0%
Draw
17.2%
Brentford
9.8%
163
Head to Head
Dec 17, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 17
Brentford
1-2
Aston Villa
Lewis-Potter (45')
Norgaard (46'), Frank (47'), Ghoddos (86'), Janelt (88'), Onyeka (90'), Maupay (90+1'), Yarmolyuk (90+8')
Mee (71')
Moreno (77'), Watkins (85')
Bailey (80'), Konsa (86'), Duran (87'), Emery (90+8'), Martinez (90+8')
Kamara (90+7')
Jul 30, 2023 5pm
Club Friendlies
Aston Villa
3-3
Brentford
Konsa (27'), Diaby (32'), Cash (37')
(0')
Mbeumo (9' pen.), Dasilva (22'), Baptiste (66')
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 32
Brentford
1-1
Aston Villa
Toney (65')
Luiz (87')
Oct 23, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 13
Aston Villa
4-0
Brentford
Bailey (2'), Ings (7', 14' pen.), Watkins (59')
Jan 2, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 21
Brentford
2-1
Aston Villa
Wissa (42'), Roerslev (83')
Onyeka (31'), Toney (77')
Ings (16')
Ramsey (30'), McGinn (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool108111961325
2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Chelsea105322012818
5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Fulham104331413115
10Bournemouth104331312115
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
12Brentford104151920-113
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


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