Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 13

Oct 23, 2022 at 2pm UK

Villa Park

Aston Villa
4 - 0
Brentford

Bailey (2'), Ings (7', 14' pen.), Watkins (59')
Ings (35')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Ivan Toney: 'Brentford played like a bunch of kids against Aston Villa'

Ivan Toney says that Brentford "played like a bunch of kids" as they lost 4-0 to managerless Aston Villa on Sunday afternoon.

Oct 23, 16:42

Aston Villa's Danny Ings celebrates scoring against Brentford on October 23, 2022

Aston Villa begin life after Steven Gerrard with four-goal win over Brentford

Danny Ings scores twice as Aston Villa begin life after Steven Gerrard with a 4-0 win over Brentford in the Premier League.

Oct 23, 15:58

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Brentford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa

All competitions

Last Game: Fulham 3-0 Aston Villa
Thursday, October 20 at 7.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Brentford

All competitions

Last Game: Brentford 0-0 Chelsea
Wednesday, October 19 at 7.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Aston Villa 1-1 Brentford

Brentford have drawn three of their five away Premier League matches this season, while Villa have won just twice in front of their own fans in the league this term. There should be a reaction from the hosts following Gerrard's departure, but Brentford are strong enough to claim a point here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 45.15%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 28.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest Brentford win was 0-1 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.

Result
Aston Villa	Draw	Brentford
45.15% ( -0.03)	26.26% ( 0.02)	28.58% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 50.82% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.6% (

-0.08)

53.4% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.07% (

-0.07)

74.93% (

0.07)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.43% (

-0.05)

23.57% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.36% (

-0.07)

57.64% (

0.07)

Brentford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.49% (

-0.03)

33.51% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.85% (

-0.04)

70.15% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Aston Villa 45.15%

Brentford 28.58%

Draw 26.26%

Aston Villa	Draw	Brentford
1-0 @ 11.41% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.02% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.25% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.34% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.97% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.44% ( -0) Other @ 2.78% Total : 45.15%	1-1 @ 12.48% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.9% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.26%	0-1 @ 8.64% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.82% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.72% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.49% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.8% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.72% Other @ 2.4% Total : 28.58%