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Premier League | Gameweek 17
Dec 17, 2023 at 2pm UK
Brentford Community Stadium
Aston Villa logo

Brentford
1 - 2
Aston Villa

Lewis-Potter (45')
Norgaard (46'), Frank (47'), Ghoddos (86'), Janelt (88'), Onyeka (90'), Maupay (90+1'), Yarmolyuk (90+8')
Mee (71')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Moreno (77'), Watkins (85')
Bailey (80'), Konsa (86'), Duran (87'), Emery (90+8'), Martinez (90+8')
Kamara (90+7')

The Match

Match Report

Aston Villa come from behind to record a 2-1 victory over Brentford in Sunday afternoon's Premier League clash.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Brentford and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sheff Utd 1-0 Brentford
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Zrinjski Mostar 1-1 Aston Villa
Thursday, December 14 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 39.74%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 35.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.7%) and 0-2 (5.93%). The likeliest Brentford win was 2-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Aston Villa in this match.

Result
BrentfordDrawAston Villa
35.97% (0.327 0.33) 24.29% (-0.273 -0.27) 39.74% (-0.050999999999995 -0.05)
Both teams to score 60.26% (1.048 1.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.61% (1.341 1.34)42.39% (-1.336 -1.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.2% (1.326 1.33)64.8% (-1.321 -1.32)
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.67% (0.79599999999999 0.8)23.33% (-0.792 -0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.72% (1.141 1.14)57.28% (-1.137 -1.14)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.59% (0.559 0.56)21.41% (-0.556 -0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.59% (0.852 0.85)54.41% (-0.847 -0.85)
Score Analysis
    Brentford 35.97%
    Aston Villa 39.74%
    Draw 24.29%
BrentfordDrawAston Villa
2-1 @ 8.16% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
1-0 @ 7.27% (-0.265 -0.27)
2-0 @ 5.29% (-0.068 -0.07)
3-1 @ 3.96% (0.107 0.11)
3-2 @ 3.05% (0.131 0.13)
3-0 @ 2.57% (0.027 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.44% (0.071 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.11% (0.073 0.07)
4-0 @ 0.93% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 35.97%
1-1 @ 11.2% (-0.22 -0.22)
2-2 @ 6.28% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 5% (-0.303 -0.3)
3-3 @ 1.57% (0.092 0.09)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.29%
1-2 @ 8.64% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-1 @ 7.7% (-0.332 -0.33)
0-2 @ 5.93% (-0.153 -0.15)
1-3 @ 4.44% (0.064 0.06)
2-3 @ 3.23% (0.119 0.12)
0-3 @ 3.05% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.71% (0.053 0.05)
2-4 @ 1.24% (0.066 0.07)
0-4 @ 1.17% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 39.74%

How you voted: Brentford vs Aston Villa

Brentford
16.1%
Draw
14.4%
Aston Villa
69.5%
118
Head to Head
Jul 30, 2023 5pm
Club Friendlies
Aston Villa
3-3
Brentford
Konsa (27'), Diaby (32'), Cash (37')
(0')
Mbeumo (9' pen.), Dasilva (22'), Baptiste (66')
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 32
Brentford
1-1
Aston Villa
Toney (65')
Luiz (87')
Oct 23, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 13
Aston Villa
4-0
Brentford
Bailey (2'), Ings (7', 14' pen.), Watkins (59')
Jan 2, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 21
Brentford
2-1
Aston Villa
Wissa (42'), Roerslev (83')
Onyeka (31'), Toney (77')
Ings (16')
Ramsey (30'), McGinn (89')
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 3
Aston Villa
1-1
Brentford
Buendia (13')
El Ghazi (50'), Cash (61'), Ings (72')
Toney (7')
Toney (52'), Norgaard (60'), Janelt (75')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


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