Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 43.79%. A win for West Ham United had a probability of 31.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest West Ham United win was 0-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.
Result | ||
Brentford | Draw | West Ham United |
43.79% ( -0.57) | 25.15% ( 0.27) | 31.06% ( 0.3) |
Both teams to score 55.72% ( -0.76) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.36% ( -1.06) | 47.64% ( 1.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.16% ( -0.98) | 69.84% ( 0.98) |
Brentford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.25% ( -0.7) | 21.75% ( 0.7) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.07% ( -1.08) | 54.93% ( 1.08) |
West Ham United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.21% ( -0.33) | 28.79% ( 0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.36% ( -0.41) | 64.64% ( 0.41) |
Score Analysis |
Brentford | Draw | West Ham United |
1-0 @ 9.55% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 9.07% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 7.29% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.61% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 3.71% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 1.76% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.42% Total : 43.79% | 1-1 @ 11.89% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 6.26% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.15% | 0-1 @ 7.8% ( 0.27) 1-2 @ 7.41% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.85% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.61% Total : 31.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 8 | 18 | 34 |
2 | Arsenal | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 25 |
3 | Chelsea | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 25 |
4 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 23 |
5 | Manchester CityMan City | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 23 |
6 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 22 |
7 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 14 | 14 | 20 |
8 | Brentford | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 20 |
9 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 19 |
10 | Fulham | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 19 |
11 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 19 |
12 | Aston Villa | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 19 |
13 | Bournemouth | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 18 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 15 |
15 | Everton | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 11 |
16 | Leicester CityLeicester | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 10 |
17 | Crystal Palace | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 9 |
18 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 32 | -10 | 9 |
19 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 9 |
20 | Southampton | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 25 | -15 | 5 |
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