Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 43.79%. A win for West Ham United had a probability of 31.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest West Ham United win was 0-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.
Result | ||
Brentford | Draw | West Ham United |
43.79% ( -0.57) | 25.15% ( 0.27) | 31.06% ( 0.3) |
Both teams to score 55.72% ( -0.76) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.36% ( -1.06) | 47.64% ( 1.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.16% ( -0.98) | 69.84% ( 0.98) |
Brentford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.25% ( -0.7) | 21.75% ( 0.7) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.07% ( -1.08) | 54.93% ( 1.08) |
West Ham United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.21% ( -0.33) | 28.79% ( 0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.36% ( -0.41) | 64.64% ( 0.41) |
Score Analysis |
Brentford | Draw | West Ham United |
1-0 @ 9.55% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 9.07% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 7.29% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.61% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 3.71% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 1.76% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.42% Total : 43.79% | 1-1 @ 11.89% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 6.26% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.15% | 0-1 @ 7.8% ( 0.27) 1-2 @ 7.41% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.85% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.61% Total : 31.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Manchester CityMan City | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 23 |
2 | Liverpool | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 22 |
3 | Arsenal | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 18 |
4 | Aston Villa | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 18 |
5 | Chelsea | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 17 |
6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 16 |
7 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 16 |
8 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 13 |
9 | Brentford | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 13 |
10 | Fulham | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 12 |
11 | Bournemouth | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 12 |
12 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 12 |
13 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 11 |
14 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 11 |
15 | Leicester CityLeicester | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 9 |
16 | Everton | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 9 |
17 | Crystal Palace | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 6 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 20 | -11 | 4 |
19 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 2 |
20 | Southampton | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 1 |
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