Aston Villa4 - 1West Ham
The Match
Match Report
Team News
Preview
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, October 8 at 2pm in Premier League
Sunday, October 8 at 2pm in Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 54.83%. A win for West Ham United had a probability of 22.91% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.89%) and 2-0 (8.48%). The likeliest West Ham United win was 1-2 (5.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aston Villa | Draw | West Ham United |
54.83% ( 0.55) | 22.26% ( 0.22) | 22.91% ( -0.78) |
| Both teams to score 58.43% ( -1.8) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.16% ( -1.93) | 40.84% ( 1.93) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.77% ( -2) | 63.23% ( 2) |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.16% ( -0.48) | 14.84% ( 0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 56.84% ( -0.93) | 43.15% ( 0.93) |
| West Ham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.62% ( -1.72) | 31.38% ( 1.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.25% ( -2.04) | 67.75% ( 2.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aston Villa | Draw | West Ham United |
| 2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 8.89% ( 0.62)2-0 @ 8.48% ( 0.45)3-1 @ 6.25% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 5.39% ( 0.2)3-2 @ 3.62% ( -0.21)4-1 @ 2.98% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 2.57% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.13)5-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 3% Total : 54.83% | 1-1 @ 10.29% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 5.69% ( -0.23)0-0 @ 4.66% ( 0.4)3-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.15)Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.25% | 1-2 @ 5.97% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 5.4% ( 0.22)0-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.17)2-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.2)0-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.71% Total : 22.91% |
