Premier League | Gameweek 3
Aug 27, 2023 at 2pm UK
Turf Moor
Burnley1 - 3Aston Villa
The Match
Match Report
Matty Cash scores a brace to help free-scoring Aston Villa beat newly-promoted Burnley 3-1 in the Premier League at Turf Moor.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Burnley and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Burnley 0-3 Man City
Friday, August 11 at 8pm in Premier League
Friday, August 11 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Hibernian 0-5 Aston Villa
Wednesday, August 23 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Wednesday, August 23 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 46.66%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 29.14% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-2 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Aston Villa in this match.
| Result | ||
| Burnley | Draw | Aston Villa |
46.66% ( 0.92) | 24.19% ( 0.32) | 29.14% ( -1.23) |
| Both teams to score 57.87% ( -1.87) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
