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Premier League | Gameweek 27
Mar 12, 2023 at 2pm UK
London Stadium
Aston Villa logo

West Ham
1 - 1
Aston Villa

Benrahma (26' pen.)
Paqueta (70')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Watkins (17')

The Match

Match Report

West Ham United move out of the Premier League relegation zone thanks to a 1-1 draw with Aston Villa.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between West Ham United and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Larnaca 0-2 West Ham
Thursday, March 9 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Aston Villa 1-0 Crystal Palace
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 51.77%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 22.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 0-1 (7.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
West Ham UnitedDrawAston Villa
51.77% (0.125 0.13) 25.3% (0.093 0.09) 22.92% (-0.223 -0.22)
Both teams to score 48.74% (-0.525 -0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.32% (-0.563 -0.56)53.68% (0.557 0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.83% (-0.478 -0.48)75.17% (0.47200000000001 0.47)
West Ham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.25% (-0.17700000000001 -0.18)20.74% (0.171 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.62% (-0.276 -0.28)53.37% (0.27 0.27)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.5% (-0.527 -0.53)38.49% (0.521 0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.75% (-0.507 -0.51)75.24% (0.5 0.5)
Score Analysis
    West Ham United 51.77%
    Aston Villa 22.92%
    Draw 25.3%
West Ham UnitedDrawAston Villa
1-0 @ 12.56% (0.21 0.21)
2-0 @ 9.88% (0.112 0.11)
2-1 @ 9.43% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5.18% (0.032 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.94% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.36% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-0 @ 2.04% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.94% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-2 @ 0.93% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 51.77%
1-1 @ 11.99% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.99% (0.173 0.17)
2-2 @ 4.5% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 25.3%
0-1 @ 7.62% (0.058 0.06)
1-2 @ 5.72% (-0.067 -0.07)
0-2 @ 3.64% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.82% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.43% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.16% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 22.92%

How you voted: West Ham vs Aston Villa

West Ham United
54.0%
Draw
20.7%
Aston Villa
25.3%
150
Head to Head
Aug 28, 2022 2pm
Mar 13, 2022 2pm
Oct 31, 2021 4.30pm
Aston Villa
1-4
West Ham
Watkins (34')
McGinn (79')
Konsa (50')
Johnson (7'), Rice (38'), Fornals (80'), Bowen (84')
Fornals (79'), Bowen (79')
Feb 3, 2021 8.15pm
Aston Villa
1-3
West Ham
Watkins (81')
Luiz (70')
Soucek (51'), Lingard (56', 83')
Cresswell (65')
Nov 30, 2020 8pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool108111961325
2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Chelsea105322012818
5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Fulham104331413115
10Bournemouth104331312115
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
12Brentford104151920-113
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


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