Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 51.77%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 22.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 0-1 (7.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
West Ham United | Draw | Aston Villa |
51.77% ( 0.13) | 25.3% ( 0.09) | 22.92% ( -0.22) |
Both teams to score 48.74% ( -0.52) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.32% ( -0.56) | 53.68% ( 0.56) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.83% ( -0.48) | 75.17% ( 0.47) |
West Ham United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.25% ( -0.18) | 20.74% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.62% ( -0.28) | 53.37% ( 0.27) |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.5% ( -0.53) | 38.49% ( 0.52) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.75% ( -0.51) | 75.24% ( 0.5) |
Score Analysis |
West Ham United | Draw | Aston Villa |
1-0 @ 12.56% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 9.88% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 9.43% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 5.18% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.94% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 2.04% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.94% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.51% Total : 51.77% | 1-1 @ 11.99% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.99% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 4.5% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.83% Total : 25.3% | 0-1 @ 7.62% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 5.72% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 3.64% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.52% Total : 22.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 6 | 15 | 28 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 23 |
3 | Chelsea | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 19 |
4 | Arsenal | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 19 |
5 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 19 |
6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 19 |
7 | Fulham | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 18 |
8 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Aston Villa | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 18 |
10 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 16 |
11 | Brentford | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 16 |
12 | Bournemouth | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 15 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 15 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 12 |
15 | Leicester CityLeicester | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
16 | Everton | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 10 |
17 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 8 |
18 | Crystal Palace | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 7 |
19 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 6 |
20 | Southampton | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 21 | -14 | 4 |
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