Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 48.96%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 25.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 0-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Aston Villa in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Aston Villa.
Result | ||
Aston Villa | Draw | Crystal Palace |
48.96% ( -0.53) | 25.25% ( -0.1) | 25.78% ( 0.63) |
Both teams to score 51.78% ( 0.9) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.87% ( 0.89) | 51.12% ( -0.89) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.02% ( 0.78) | 72.97% ( -0.78) |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.1% ( 0.14) | 20.9% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.39% ( 0.21) | 53.61% ( -0.21) |
Crystal Palace Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.46% ( 1.02) | 34.54% ( -1.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.74% ( 1.07) | 71.26% ( -1.07) |
Score Analysis |
Aston Villa | Draw | Crystal Palace |
1-0 @ 11.29% ( -0.37) 2-1 @ 9.4% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.85% ( -0.25) 3-1 @ 4.91% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.62% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 2.61% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 1.92% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.81% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.54% Total : 48.96% | 1-1 @ 12.01% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.22% ( -0.26) 2-2 @ 5% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.25% | 0-1 @ 7.67% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 6.39% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 4.08% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.16% Total : 25.78% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
2 | Chelsea | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 35 |
3 | Arsenal | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 33 |
4 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 31 |
5 | Bournemouth | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 28 |
6 | Aston Villa | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 28 |
7 | Manchester CityMan City | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 27 |
8 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 26 |
9 | Fulham | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 25 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 25 |
11 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 39 | 25 | 14 | 23 |
12 | Brentford | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 23 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 22 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 20 |
15 | Everton | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 16 |
16 | Crystal Palace | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 16 |
17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 14 |
18 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 12 |
19 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 12 |
20 | Southampton | 17 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 36 | -25 | 6 |
> Premier League Full Table |