Man Utd2 - 1Crystal Palace
The Match
Match Report
Team News
Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Form, Standings, Stats
Wednesday, February 1 at 8pm in EFL Cup
Saturday, January 21 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 78.25%. A draw had a probability of 14.5% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 7.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.47%) and 1-0 (11.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.89%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 0-1 (2.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester United | Draw | Crystal Palace |
78.25% ( 0.16) | 14.52% ( -0.1) | 7.22% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 42.35% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.04% ( 0.21) | 39.95% ( -0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.68% ( 0.22) | 62.31% ( -0.22) |
| Manchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.69% ( 0.08) | 8.31% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 71.02% ( 0.21) | 28.98% ( -0.22) |
| Crystal Palace Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 46.19% ( -0.02) | 53.81% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 12.84% ( -0.02) | 87.16% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester United | Draw | Crystal Palace |
| 2-0 @ 13.83% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 11.47% ( 0.03)1-0 @ 11.12% ( -0.06)2-1 @ 8.58% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 7.14% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 7.11% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 4.42% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 3.55% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.2% ( 0)5-1 @ 2.2% ( 0.02)6-0 @ 1.47% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.01)6-1 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.86% Total : 78.24% | 1-1 @ 6.89% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.47% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.5% Total : 14.52% | 0-1 @ 2.77% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.32% Total : 7.22% |
How you voted: Man Utd vs Crystal Palace
