MX23RW : Saturday, November 23 08:45:50| >> :600:541338:541338:
Crystal Palace logo
FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 7, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Selhurst Park
Southampton logo

Crystal Palace
1 - 2
Southampton

Edouard (14')
Ward (36')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ward-Prowse (37'), Armstrong (68')
Perraud (59'), Caleta-Car (67'), Ward-Prowse (75'), Walker-Peters (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Crystal Palace and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crystal Palace 0-4 Spurs
Wednesday, January 4 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Southampton 0-1 Nott'm Forest
Wednesday, January 4 at 7.30pm in Premier League

We said: Crystal Palace 2-1 Southampton

It is always difficult to know what to expect when two Premier League sides meet in the early rounds of the FA Cup, as both managers will make changes to their sides. Southampton are really difficult to back at the moment due to their struggles, though, so we have had to side with the home team on this occasion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 43.06%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 31.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Southampton win was 0-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
Crystal PalaceDrawSouthampton
43.06% (1.695 1.7) 25.61% (-0.462 -0.46) 31.33% (-1.235 -1.24)
Both teams to score 54.33% (1.037 1.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.48% (1.552 1.55)49.52% (-1.552 -1.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.45% (1.377 1.38)71.55% (-1.378 -1.38)
Crystal Palace Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.1% (1.521 1.52)22.9% (-1.521 -1.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.35% (2.192 2.19)56.65% (-2.192 -2.19)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.46% (-0.045999999999992 -0.05)29.54% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.43% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)65.57% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Crystal Palace 43.06%
    Southampton 31.33%
    Draw 25.6%
Crystal PalaceDrawSouthampton
1-0 @ 9.97% (-0.179 -0.18)
2-1 @ 8.96% (0.222 0.22)
2-0 @ 7.35% (0.191 0.19)
3-1 @ 4.4% (0.296 0.3)
3-0 @ 3.61% (0.248 0.25)
3-2 @ 2.69% (0.178 0.18)
4-1 @ 1.62% (0.175 0.18)
4-0 @ 1.33% (0.145 0.15)
4-2 @ 0.99% (0.106 0.11)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 43.06%
1-1 @ 12.15% (-0.24 -0.24)
0-0 @ 6.76% (-0.438 -0.44)
2-2 @ 5.46% (0.129 0.13)
3-3 @ 1.09% (0.071 0.07)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.6%
0-1 @ 8.25% (-0.546 -0.55)
1-2 @ 7.41% (-0.155 -0.15)
0-2 @ 5.03% (-0.339 -0.34)
1-3 @ 3.01% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.22% (0.05 0.05)
0-3 @ 2.04% (-0.14 -0.14)
1-4 @ 0.92% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 31.33%

How you voted: Crystal Palace vs Southampton

Crystal Palace
72.9%
Draw
12.9%
Southampton
14.1%
85
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Southampton
1-2
Crystal Palace
Romeu (9')
Bednarek (16')
Eze (60'), Zaha (90+2')
Mateta (16'), McArthur (38'), Ward (45+2')
Dec 15, 2021 7.30pm
Crystal Palace
2-2
Southampton
Zaha (2'), Ayew (65')
Guehi (25'), Tomkins (73')
Ward-Prowse (32'), Broja (36')
Livramento (67'), Salisu (84'), Lyanco (88'), Caballero (90+6')
May 11, 2021 8.15pm
Southampton
3-1
Crystal Palace
Ings (19', 75'), Adams (48')
Bednarek (44'), Vestergaard (54')
Benteke (2')
Ayew (45+1'), Kouyate (77'), Zaha (90+2')
Sep 12, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


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