Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 43.07%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 30.97% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (7.53%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 1-0 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.