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Premier League | Gameweek 23
Feb 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Selhurst Park
Brighton logo

Crystal Palace
1 - 1
Brighton

Tomkins (69')
Hughes (27'), Sambi Lokonga (59'), Doucoure (82'), Mitchell (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
March (63')
Mac Allister (7')

The Match

Match Report

James Tomkins cancels out an opener from Solly March as Crystal Palace hold Brighton & Hove Albion to a 1-1 draw in the M23 derby.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Crystal Palace and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 54.39%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 22.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.83%) and 0-2 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 1-0 (6.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.

Result
Crystal PalaceDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
22.53% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 23.08%54.39% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Both teams to score 55.12% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.65% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)67.35% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Crystal Palace Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.98% (0.0049999999999955 0)34.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.29% (0.0020000000000024 0)70.71% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.55% (0.007000000000005 0.01)16.45% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.86% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)46.15% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Crystal Palace 22.53%
    Brighton & Hove Albion 54.38%
    Draw 23.08%
Crystal PalaceDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
1-0 @ 6.04%
2-1 @ 5.87%
2-0 @ 3.25% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 2.11%
3-2 @ 1.9%
3-0 @ 1.17%
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 22.53%
1-1 @ 10.89%
0-0 @ 5.6% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 5.3% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.08%
0-1 @ 10.1%
1-2 @ 9.83%
0-2 @ 9.12%
1-3 @ 5.91% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 5.48% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 3.19% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 2.67%
0-4 @ 2.47% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-4 @ 1.44% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-5 @ 0.96% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 54.38%

How you voted: Crystal Palace vs Brighton

Crystal Palace
Draw
Brighton & Hove Albion
Crystal Palace
16.3%
Draw
15.0%
Brighton & Hove Albion
68.6%
153
Head to Head
Jan 14, 2022 8pm
Sep 27, 2021 8pm
Crystal Palace
1-1
Brighton
Zaha (45+2' pen.)
Gallagher (84'), McArthur (90+7')
Maupay (90+5')
Lallana (28'), Cucurella (77'), Trossard (81'), Sanchez (90+7')
Feb 22, 2021 8pm
Oct 18, 2020 2pm
Crystal Palace
1-1
Brighton
Zaha (19' pen.)
Mitchell (63'), Guaita (76'), McArthur (86')
Mac Allister (90')
Ryan (18'), Bissouma (43')
Dunk (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool19144147192846
2Arsenal20117239182140
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest20124429191040
4Chelsea20106439241536
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle20105534221235
6Manchester CityMan City2010463627934
7Bournemouth209653023733
8Aston Villa209563032-232
9Fulham207943027330
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2061043029128
11Brentford208393835327
12Tottenham HotspurSpurs20731042301224
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd206592328-523
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham206592439-1523
15Crystal Palace204972128-721
16Everton193881525-1017
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2044123145-1416
18Ipswich TownIpswich2037102035-1516
19Leicester CityLeicester2035122344-2114
20Southampton2013161244-326


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