Premier League | Gameweek 23
Feb 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Selhurst Park
Crystal Palace1 - 1Brighton
FT(HT: 0-0)
The Match
Match Report
James Tomkins cancels out an opener from Solly March as Crystal Palace hold Brighton & Hove Albion to a 1-1 draw in the M23 derby.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Crystal Palace and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Man Utd 2-1 Crystal Palace
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in Premier League
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 1-0 Bournemouth
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in Premier League
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 54.39%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 22.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.83%) and 0-2 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 1-0 (6.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Crystal Palace | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
22.53% ( -0) | 23.08% | 54.39% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 55.12% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55% ( 0.01) | 45% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.65% ( 0.01) | 67.35% ( -0) |
Crystal Palace Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.98% ( 0) | 34.03% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.29% ( 0) | 70.71% ( 0) |
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.55% ( 0.01) | 16.45% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.86% ( 0.01) | 46.15% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Crystal Palace 22.53%
Brighton & Hove Albion 54.38%
Draw 23.08%
Crystal Palace | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
1-0 @ 6.04% 2-1 @ 5.87% 2-0 @ 3.25% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.11% 3-2 @ 1.9% 3-0 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.19% Total : 22.53% | 1-1 @ 10.89% 0-0 @ 5.6% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.3% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.08% | 0-1 @ 10.1% 1-2 @ 9.83% 0-2 @ 9.12% 1-3 @ 5.91% ( 0) 0-3 @ 5.48% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.19% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.67% 0-4 @ 2.47% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.44% ( 0) 1-5 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 3.21% Total : 54.38% |
How you voted: Crystal Palace vs Brighton
Crystal Palace
16.3%Draw
15.0%Brighton & Hove Albion
68.6%153
Form Guide