Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 54.85%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Brentford had a probability of 22.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.65%), while for a Brentford win it was 1-2 (5.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Manchester United in this match.