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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Morecambe win with a probability of 38.22%. A win for Newport County has a probability of 36.88% and a draw has a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.19%) and 0-2 (5.95%). The likeliest Newport County win is 2-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.65%).
Result | ||
Newport County | Draw | Morecambe |
36.88% ( 1.07) | 24.9% ( -1.16) | 38.22% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 58.13% ( 4.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.82% ( 5.27) | 45.18% ( -5.27) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.48% ( 4.85) | 67.52% ( -4.86) |
Newport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.89% ( 3.06) | 24.11% ( -3.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.59% ( 4.17) | 58.41% ( -4.17) |
Morecambe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.6% ( 2.44) | 23.4% ( -2.45) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.61% ( 3.43) | 57.38% ( -3.43) |
Score Analysis |
Newport County | Draw | Morecambe |
2-1 @ 8.29% ( 0.23) 1-0 @ 8.03% ( -1.13) 2-0 @ 5.71% ( -0.25) 3-1 @ 3.93% ( 0.43) 3-2 @ 2.86% ( 0.49) 3-0 @ 2.71% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.26) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.24) 4-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.12) Other @ 1.98% Total : 36.88% | 1-1 @ 11.65% ( -0.73) 2-2 @ 6.02% ( 0.56) 0-0 @ 5.64% ( -1.38) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.31) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.89% | 1-2 @ 8.47% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 8.19% ( -1.31) 0-2 @ 5.95% ( -0.48) 1-3 @ 4.1% ( 0.32) 2-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.45) 0-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.49% ( 0.21) 2-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.23) 0-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.12% Total : 38.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 43 |
2 | Port Vale | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 37 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 36 |
4 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 35 |
5 | Chesterfield | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 36 | 23 | 13 | 34 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 33 |
7 | Notts County | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 31 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 21 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 31 |
9 | MK Dons | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 30 |
10 | Gillingham | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 30 |
11 | Salford City | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 30 |
12 | Bradford CityBradford | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 28 |
13 | Bromley | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 27 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 27 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 26 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 26 |
17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 20 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 23 |
18 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 23 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 21 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 19 |
22 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 19 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 15 |
24 | Morecambe | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 14 |
> League Two Full Table |