Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 33

May 12, 2024 at 8pm UK

Parc des Princes

PSG
1 - 3
Toulouse

Mbappe (8')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Dallinga (13'), Gboho (68'), Magri (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Toulouse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: PSG 0-1 Dortmund
Tuesday, May 7 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Toulouse

All competitions

Last Game: Toulouse 1-2 Montpellier
Friday, May 3 at 6pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Paris Saint-Germain 3-1 Toulouse

Neither PSG nor Toulouse need over-exert themselves in a match where only pride is on the line, but Enrique's men are still searching for the formula for defensive success at home, while Les Violets have made a habit of shining on the road of late. Martinez's men are actually the second-best performing Ligue 1 team away from home in 2024 behind PSG, but Nicolaisen's ban is a significant blow, and on this occasion, we have faith in Les Parisiens to finally put some of their chances away en route to a recovery win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 67.55%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Toulouse had a probability of 14.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.04%) and 3-1 (7.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.87%), while for a Toulouse win it was 1-2 (4.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.

Result
Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Toulouse
67.55% ( 0.1)	17.68% ( -0.05)	14.78% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 59.49% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.63% (

0.11)

32.37% (

-0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46% (

0.13)

53.99% (

-0.13)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.17% (

0.05)

8.82% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.75% (

0.12)

30.24% (

-0.12)

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.25% (

0.01)

34.75% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.52% (

0.01)

71.48% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Paris Saint-Germain 67.55%

Toulouse 14.78%

Draw 17.68%

Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Toulouse
2-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.04% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.73% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.44% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 7.31% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 4.69% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 4.44% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 4.09% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2.48% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 2.28% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 2.16% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) 6-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.22% Total : 67.55%	1-1 @ 7.87% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.05% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.07% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.44% ( 0) Other @ 0.26% Total : 17.68%	1-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 3.24% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.78% 0-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.47% ( -0) Other @ 2.42% Total : 14.78%