Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 38.66%. A win for Clermont had a probability of 35.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest Clermont win was 1-0 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.
Result | ||
Clermont | Draw | Toulouse |
35.4% ( -0.55) | 25.94% ( -0.16) | 38.66% ( 0.72) |
Both teams to score 54.36% ( 0.51) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.02% ( 0.68) | 49.97% ( -0.68) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.04% ( 0.6) | 71.96% ( -0.6) |
Clermont Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.81% ( -0) | 27.19% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.4% ( -0) | 62.6% ( 0) |
Toulouse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.66% ( 0.71) | 25.34% ( -0.7) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.87% ( 0.96) | 60.13% ( -0.96) |
Score Analysis |
Clermont | Draw | Toulouse |
1-0 @ 8.97% ( -0.25) 2-1 @ 8.02% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 5.84% ( -0.16) 3-1 @ 3.48% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.54% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.02% Total : 35.4% | 1-1 @ 12.31% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 6.89% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 5.51% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.93% | 0-1 @ 9.46% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 8.45% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 6.49% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 3.87% ( 0.13) 0-3 @ 2.97% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.07) 0-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.55% Total : 38.66% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 15 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 40 | 12 | 28 | 37 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |