Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 24

Mar 3, 2024 at 12pm UK

Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)

Toulouse
2 - 1
Nice

Dallinga (65'), Gboho (69')
Costa (45+2'), Spierings (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Moffi (8')
Thuram (2'), Moffi (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Nice, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toulouse

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Toulouse 3-1 Lille
Sunday, February 25 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Nice

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Nice 0-0 Clermont
Sunday, February 25 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Toulouse 1-1 Nice

While Toulouse should back themselves to nick another victory over one of Ligue 1's leading sides, the spoils could be shared on Saturday, extending Nice's winless run to five games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 48.08%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 26.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.32%) and 0-2 (8.71%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 1-0 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
Toulouse	Draw	Nice
26.41% ( 0.13)	25.51% ( -0.08)	48.08% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 51.56% (

0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.32% (

0.41)

51.68% (

-0.4)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.54% (

0.35)

73.46% (

-0.35)

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.69% (

0.33)

34.31% (

-0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.99% (

0.35)

71.01% (

-0.35)

Nice Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.49% (

0.15)

21.51% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.44% (

0.22)

54.56% (

-0.22)

Score Analysis

Toulouse 26.41%

Nice 48.08%

Draw 25.51%

Toulouse	Draw	Nice
1-0 @ 7.89% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 6.49% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.31% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.78% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.22% Total : 26.41%	1-1 @ 12.13% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.38% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 4.99% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.51%	0-1 @ 11.34% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 9.32% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.71% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 4.78% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 4.46% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.55% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.84% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.72% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.38% Total : 48.08%