Coupe de France | Round of 16

Feb 7, 2024 at 7.30pm UK

Stade de la Mosson

Montpellier
1 - 4
Nice

Sagnan (75')
Savanier (34'), Lecomte (61')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Ndayishimiye (29'), Louchet (37'), Cho (39'), Claude-Maurice (62' pen.)
Claude-Maurice (34'), Rosario (46'), Balde (71')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Coupe de France clash between Montpellier HSC and Nice, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montpellier HSC

All competitions

Coupe de France

Last Game: Rennes 2-1 Montpellier
Saturday, February 3 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Nice

All competitions

Coupe de France

Last Game: Brest 0-0 Nice
Sunday, February 4 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Montpellier HSC 1-1 Nice

Despite the gap in the league standings between these sides, Montpellier have fared well on their home patch this season and head into this match unbeaten in their last four on home soil. In contrast, Nice have struggled to find wins on the road of late and failed to score in three of their last four away league matches. We are expecting a tight and tactical match here and feel that we may need penalties to find the winner in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 46.58%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 27.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.22%) and 0-2 (8.35%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.

Result
Montpellier HSC	Draw	Nice
27.74% ( -0.28)	25.68% ( -0.06)	46.58% ( 0.34)

Both teams to score 52.06% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.49% (

0.09)

51.51% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.69% (

0.08)

73.31% (

-0.08)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.83% (

-0.17)

33.17% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.23% (

-0.19)

69.77% (

0.19)

Nice Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.9% (

0.19)

22.1% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.54% (

0.29)

55.46% (

-0.29)

Score Analysis

Montpellier HSC 27.74%

Nice 46.58%

Draw 25.67%

Montpellier HSC	Draw	Nice
1-0 @ 8.09% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 6.74% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 4.46% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 2.48% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.64% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.45% Total : 27.74%	1-1 @ 12.21% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.33% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.09% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.67%	0-1 @ 11.06% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.22% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 8.35% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 4.64% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 4.2% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.75% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.59% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.25% Total : 46.58%