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Ligue 1 header desktop

Ligue 1
Marseille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 27
Mar 31, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Velodrome
PSG logo

Marseille
0 - 2
PSG

FT(HT: 0-0)
Vitinha (53'), Ramos (85')
Beraldo (15'), Hernandez (38'), Pereira (40'), Donnarumma (45')
Beraldo (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Paris Saint-Germain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Rennes 2-0 Marseille
Sunday, March 17 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 2-6 PSG
Sunday, March 17 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

We said: Marseille 1-3 Paris Saint-Germain

 Suffering cruel blow after cruel blow when it comes to the availability of their defenders, Marseille's remarkable run at the Orange Velodrome appears destined to come to an end against the runaway leaders, even if the international break allowed Gasset and co the chance to reset and dissect. A well-stocked midfield and attack can still ask questions of PSG's own ravaged backline, but Enrique's attackers will be licking their lips at the prospect of facing their injury-hit Classique foes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 39.24%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 36.92% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.09%) and 0-2 (5.59%). The likeliest Marseille win was 2-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
MarseilleDrawParis Saint-Germain
36.92% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 23.83% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 39.24% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Both teams to score 62.09% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.95% (0.020000000000003 0.02)40.05% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.58% (0.022000000000006 0.02)62.41% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.23% (0.012 0.01)21.77% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.04% (0.018999999999998 0.02)54.95% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.37% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)20.63% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.8% (0.011000000000003 0.01)53.19% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Marseille 36.92%
    Paris Saint-Germain 39.24%
    Draw 23.82%
MarseilleDrawParis Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 8.24%
1-0 @ 6.85% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 5.22% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 4.19% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 3.31% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 2.65%
4-1 @ 1.6% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.26% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.01% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 36.92%
1-1 @ 10.8% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.5% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 4.49% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 1.74% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.82%
1-2 @ 8.53% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 7.09% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 5.59% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 4.49%
2-3 @ 3.42% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.94% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.77% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.35% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.16%
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 39.24%

How you voted: Marseille vs PSG

Marseille
19.2%
Draw
15.8%
Paris Saint-Germain
65.1%
146
Head to Head
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4-0
Marseille
Hakimi (8'), Kolo (37'), Ramos (47', 89')

Gigot (73'), Veretout (82'), Lodi (85')
> Preview
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Gameweek 25
Marseille
0-3
PSG
Mbappe (25', 55'), Messi (29')
> Match Report
Feb 8, 2023 8.10pm
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Marseille
2-1
PSG
Sanchez (31' pen.), Malinovskyi (57')
Ramos (45+2')
> Preview
Oct 16, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
PSG
1-0
Marseille
Neymar (45+1')
> Preview
Apr 17, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
PSG
2-1
Marseille
Neymar (12'), Mbappe (45+4' pen.)
Verratti (17'), Mendes (37'), Gueye (46'), Neymar (55'), Mbappe (90+1'), Donnarumma (90+1')
Caleta-Car (31')
Gerson (21')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG15114040122837
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1593324121230
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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