MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 08:43:01| >> :120:22904:22904:
Real Sociedad logo
Champions League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Mar 5, 2024 at 8pm UK
Reale Arena
PSG logo

Real Sociedad
1 - 2
PSG

Merino (89')
Kubo (42'), Zubeldia (54')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mbappe (15', 56')
Mendes (28'), Hakimi (42'), Dembele (45+4')

The Match

Match Report

Kylian Mbappe scores twice as Paris Saint-Germain advance to the Champions League quarter-finals courtesy of a 4-1 aggregate win over Real Sociedad.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Real Sociedad and Paris Saint-Germain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 46.02%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 30.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.15%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 2-1 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Paris Saint-Germain in this match.

Result
Real SociedadDrawParis Saint-Germain
30.27% (-2.271 -2.27) 23.71% (-0.528 -0.53) 46.02% (2.8 2.8)
Both teams to score 60.28% (0.755 0.76)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.52% (1.47 1.47)41.47% (-1.47 -1.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.12% (1.473 1.47)63.87% (-1.473 -1.47)
Real Sociedad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.76% (-0.69499999999999 -0.69)26.24% (0.695 0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.65% (-0.941 -0.94)61.34% (0.943 0.94)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.73% (1.777 1.78)18.27% (-1.775 -1.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.67% (2.934 2.93)49.32% (-2.933 -2.93)
Score Analysis
    Real Sociedad 30.27%
    Paris Saint-Germain 46.02%
    Draw 23.7%
Real SociedadDrawParis Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 7.29% (-0.37 -0.37)
1-0 @ 6.41% (-0.574 -0.57)
2-0 @ 4.29% (-0.478 -0.48)
3-1 @ 3.25% (-0.234 -0.23)
3-2 @ 2.77% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.91% (-0.256 -0.26)
4-1 @ 1.09% (-0.102 -0.1)
4-2 @ 0.93% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 30.27%
1-1 @ 10.9% (-0.33 -0.33)
2-2 @ 6.2% (0.04 0.04)
0-0 @ 4.79% (-0.326 -0.33)
3-3 @ 1.57% (0.066 0.07)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.7%
1-2 @ 9.27% (0.242 0.24)
0-1 @ 8.15% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
0-2 @ 6.93% (0.314 0.31)
1-3 @ 5.25% (0.416 0.42)
0-3 @ 3.93% (0.382 0.38)
2-3 @ 3.51% (0.213 0.21)
1-4 @ 2.23% (0.289 0.29)
0-4 @ 1.67% (0.244 0.24)
2-4 @ 1.49% (0.167 0.17)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 46.02%

How you voted: Real Sociedad vs PSG

Real Sociedad
14.4%
Draw
12.7%
Paris Saint-Germain
72.9%
362
Head to Head
Feb 14, 2024 8pm
Round of 16 1st Leg
PSG
2-0
Real Sociedad
Mbappe (58'), Barcola (70')

Le Normand (36'), Traore (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Manchester CityMan City168352823527
6Bournemouth167452421325
7Aston Villa167452425-125
8Fulham166642422224
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton166642625124
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
11Brentford167273230223
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham165472129-819
15Crystal Palace163761721-416
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


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