MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 14:12:32| >> :600:385708:385708:
Real Sociedad logo
Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 8, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Reale Arena
Benfica

Real Sociedad
3 - 1
Benfica

Merino (6'), Oyarzabal (11'), Barrenetxea (21')
Barrenetxea (62'), Fernandez (86')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Silva (49')
Luis (20')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Real Sociedad and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chaves 0-2 Benfica
Saturday, November 4 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Real Sociedad 2-1 Benfica

There is an element of pressure on both teams to claim maximum points on Wednesday, with Real Sociedad seeking to secure top spot in Group D while Benfica must win to keep their top-two hopes alive. Taking into account the previous meeting between these two sides, another closely-fought contest could be on the cards at the Reale Arena, but we are backing Alguacil's men to navigate their way to a slender success in front of their own fans. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 61.19%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 17.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.96%) and 0-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%), while for a Real Sociedad win it was 2-1 (4.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.

Result
Real SociedadDrawBenfica
17.89%20.92%61.19% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Both teams to score 54.8%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.22% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)41.78% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.82%64.18% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Real Sociedad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.11%36.88% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.33%73.67% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.82% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)13.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.12% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)39.88% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Score Analysis
    Real Sociedad 17.89%
    Benfica 61.19%
    Draw 20.92%
Real SociedadDrawBenfica
2-1 @ 4.9%
1-0 @ 4.85%
2-0 @ 2.42%
3-2 @ 1.65%
3-1 @ 1.63%
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 17.89%
1-1 @ 9.82%
2-2 @ 4.97%
0-0 @ 4.86%
3-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 20.92%
0-2 @ 9.98%
1-2 @ 9.96%
0-1 @ 9.85% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 6.74% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 6.73%
0-4 @ 3.42%
1-4 @ 3.41%
2-3 @ 3.36%
2-4 @ 1.7%
0-5 @ 1.39%
1-5 @ 1.38%
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 61.19%

How you voted: Real Sociedad vs Benfica

Real Sociedad
64.8%
Draw
16.4%
Benfica
18.9%
159
Head to Head
Oct 24, 2023 8pm
Group Stage
Benfica
0-1
Real Sociedad

Bernat (77')
Mendez (63')
Elustondo (71'), Merino (75')
rhs 2.0
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