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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Estoril
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 8
Oct 7, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
Benfica

Estoril
0 - 1
Benfica


Cassiano (41'), Tavares (62'), Fernandes (71')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Silva (90+3')
Chiquinho (49'), Silva (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estoril Praia

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Guimaraes 3-2 Estoril
Sunday, October 1 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Benfica

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Inter Milan 1-0 Benfica
Tuesday, October 3 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Estoril Praia 1-4 Benfica

 Benfica have been ruthless in the league since losing to Boavista on the opening day and should have too much for their hosts here. Estoril have been in fine goalscoring form all season but simply concede too many goals, and Benfica will expect to take advantage of that in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 59.45%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 18.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.22%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.36%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-0 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Benfica in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Benfica.

Result
Estoril PraiaDrawBenfica
18.66% (-0.012 -0.01) 21.89% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 59.45% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Both teams to score 53.01%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.13% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)44.87% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.78% (0.011000000000003 0.01)67.22% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.16% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)37.84% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.38% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)74.61% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.29% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)14.71% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.09% (0.017000000000003 0.02)42.9% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Estoril Praia 18.66%
    Benfica 59.44%
    Draw 21.88%
Estoril PraiaDrawBenfica
1-0 @ 5.41% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-1 @ 5.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 2.63% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 1.63% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.56%
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 18.66%
1-1 @ 10.36% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.57% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 4.83% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 21.88%
0-1 @ 10.66% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 10.22%
1-2 @ 9.94% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-3 @ 6.53% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 6.35% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 3.13% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 3.08%
1-4 @ 3.04% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-4 @ 1.48% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-5 @ 1.2% (0.002 0)
1-5 @ 1.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 59.44%

How you voted: Estoril vs Benfica

Estoril Praia
10.7%
Draw
0.0%
Benfica
89.3%
28
Head to Head
Apr 23, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 29
Benfica
1-0
Estoril
Otamendi (44')
> Preview
Nov 9, 2022 8.45pm
Fourth Round
Estoril
0-1
Benfica
Neres (66')
> Preview
Nov 6, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 12
Estoril
1-5
Benfica
Serginho (90+1')
Musa (25'), Silva (30', 40'), Mario (67'), Ristic (89')
> Preview
Mar 20, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 27
Benfica
2-1
Estoril
Silva (34'), Ramos (53')
Weigl (29')
Franco (90+3')
Acevedo (10'), Joaozinho (81')
> Preview
Oct 30, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 10
Estoril
1-1
Benfica
Rosier (90')
Lourenco (42'), Africo (54'), Geraldes (90+4')
Verissimo (2')
Radonjic (55'), Verissimo (75')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Benfica1512213782938
2Sporting Lisbon15121243103337
3Porto1512123692737
4Braga1584327161128
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara159061615127
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes156542016423
7Casa Pia155551618-220
8MoreirenseMoreirense156271922-320
9FamalicaoFamalicao154741817119
10Gil Vicente154561724-717
11Rio AveRio Ave154471526-1116
12Estrela Amadora154381324-1115
13Estoril PraiaEstoril153571224-1214
14AVS152761122-1113
15Nacional153481021-1113
16BoavistaBoavista152671019-912
17SC FarenseFarense15339921-1212
18AroucaArouca153210926-1711
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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