Primeira Liga | Gameweek 7

Oct 1, 2023 at 6pm UK

Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques

Guimaraes
3 - 2
Estoril

Silva (56'), Mendes (69'), Safira (90+3' pen.)
Mendes (28'), Silva (53'), Silva (54'), Silva (70')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Araujo (12'), Gomes (20')
Feltes (11'), Fernandes (53'), Carlos (87'), Vital (90+9')
Holsgrove (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Estoril Praia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Casa Pia 0-0 Guimaraes
Saturday, September 23 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Estoril Praia

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Leixoes 1-2 Estoril
Wednesday, September 27 at 8.45pm in Taca da Liga

Goals
for

We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 0-1 Estoril Praia

Buoyed by their midweek cup victory, Estoril Praia will head into Sunday's games with renewed confidence as they look to pull clear of the bottom of the table. After a solid start to the campaign, Vitoria de Guimaraes appear to have run out of steam and we fancy the visitors scraping a narrow victory in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 51.77%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 22.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.94%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 0-1 (7.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.

Result
Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Estoril Praia
51.77% ( -0.07)	25.4% ( 0)	22.84% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 48.38% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.89% (

0.04)

54.1% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.47% (

0.04)

75.53% (

-0.04)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.08% (

-0.01)

20.92% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.35% (

-0.02)

53.64% (

0.02)

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.18% (

0.09)

38.82% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.45% (

0.09)

75.55% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Vitoria de Guimaraes 51.76%

Estoril Praia 22.84%

Draw 25.39%

Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Estoril Praia
1-0 @ 12.7% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 9.94% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.4% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.18% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.91% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.03% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.92% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 2.46% Total : 51.76%	1-1 @ 12.02% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.12% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.8% Total : 25.39%	0-1 @ 7.68% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.69% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.64% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.48% Total : 22.84%