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Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 7
Oct 1, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
Estoril

Guimaraes
3 - 2
Estoril

Silva (56'), Mendes (69'), Safira (90+3' pen.)
Mendes (28'), Silva (53'), Silva (54'), Silva (70')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Araujo (12'), Gomes (20')
Feltes (11'), Fernandes (53'), Carlos (87'), Vital (90+9')
Holsgrove (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Estoril Praia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Casa Pia 0-0 Guimaraes
Saturday, September 23 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Leixoes 1-2 Estoril
Wednesday, September 27 at 8.45pm in Taca da Liga

We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 0-1 Estoril Praia

Buoyed by their midweek cup victory, Estoril Praia will head into Sunday's games with renewed confidence as they look to pull clear of the bottom of the table. After a solid start to the campaign, Vitoria de Guimaraes appear to have run out of steam and we fancy the visitors scraping a narrow victory in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 51.77%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 22.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.94%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 0-1 (7.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.

Result
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawEstoril Praia
51.77% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07) 25.4% (0.0040000000000013 0) 22.84% (0.067 0.07)
Both teams to score 48.38% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.89% (0.042000000000002 0.04)54.1% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.47% (0.035 0.04)75.53% (-0.035000000000011 -0.04)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.08% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)20.92% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.35% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)53.64% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.18% (0.088999999999999 0.09)38.82% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.45% (0.085000000000001 0.09)75.55% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 51.76%
    Estoril Praia 22.84%
    Draw 25.39%
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawEstoril Praia
1-0 @ 12.7% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 9.94% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.4% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 5.18% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.91% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.32% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.03% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.92% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 0.91% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 51.76%
1-1 @ 12.02% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.12% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.45% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 25.39%
0-1 @ 7.68% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.69% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.64% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.79% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.4% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.15% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 22.84%

How you voted: Guimaraes vs Estoril

Vitoria de Guimaraes
85.7%
Draw
0.0%
Estoril Praia
14.3%
7
Head to Head
Feb 4, 2023 8.30pm
Aug 14, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 2
Guimaraes
1-0
Estoril
Silva (16')
Silva (34'), Silva (41'), Almeida (71')

Joaozinho (14'), Arthur (39'), Esteves (43'), Lea Siliki (87')
Esteves (60')
Jan 23, 2022 3.30pm
Gameweek 19
Guimaraes
3-1
Estoril
Rochinha (61'), Estupinan (69', 90+3')
Borevkovic (43'), Soares (63'), Trmal (79'), Duarte (90+2')
Franco (29')
Ferraresi (25'), Thiago (53'), Gamboa (59')
Aug 13, 2021 8.15pm
Gameweek 2
Estoril
0-0
Guimaraes
Africo (1'), Crespo (90+4')
Semedo (40'), Silva (79'), Rochinha (90+2')
Semedo (56')
Jan 21, 2018 8.15pm
Guimaraes
3-1
Estoril
Hurtado (20'), Raphinha (48'), Heldon (93')
N'Clomande (27'), Wakaso (45'), Henrique (70'), Heldon (71')
Claro (45')
Fonseca (71'), Rodrigues (76')
Abner (9')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon22164259184152
2Benfica22162450183250
3Porto21134445182743
4Braga21134438201843
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara2212282523238
6Casa Pia229672928133
7Estoril PraiaEstoril228772834-631
8Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes217953025530
9MoreirenseMoreirense2275102833-526
10FamalicaoFamalicao2151062224-225
11Rio AveRio Ave216782335-1225
12AroucaArouca2266102134-1324
13Nacional2265112130-923
14Gil Vicente215792332-922
15Estrela Amadora2255121934-1520
16AVS213991631-1518
17SC FarenseFarense2136121330-1715
18BoavistaBoavista2226141437-2312


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