Primeira Liga | Gameweek 4
Sep 3, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
Estoril1 - 2Boavista
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Estrela Amadora 2-1 Estoril
Friday, August 25 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Friday, August 25 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Boavista 1-1 Casa Pia
Sunday, August 27 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, August 27 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Estoril Praia 1-2 Boavista
Estoril Praia have had a difficult start to the season, but have proven to be competitive in every single match they have played, which is likely going to be the case again this weekend. However, Boavista could end up having slightly too much for them here, particularly due to the confidence that has come from their undefeated start. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 38.61%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 34.17% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (10.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Boavista in this match.
| Result | ||
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Boavista |
38.61% ( -0.52) | 27.22% ( -0.07) | 34.17% ( 0.58) |
| Both teams to score 50.02% ( 0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.59% ( 0.33) | 55.41% ( -0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.39% ( 0.27) | 76.6% ( -0.27) |
| Estoril Praia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.09% ( -0.14) | 27.91% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.47% ( -0.18) | 63.52% ( 0.17) |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.38% ( 0.54) | 30.61% ( -0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.15% ( 0.64) | 66.85% ( -0.64) |
| Score Analysis |
Estoril Praia 38.6%
Boavista 34.16%
Draw 27.22%
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Boavista |
| 1-0 @ 10.9% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 8.24% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 6.96% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 3.5% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.96% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.91% Total : 38.6% | 1-1 @ 12.9% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.54% ( -0.11)2-2 @ 4.88% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.22% | 0-1 @ 10.11% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.64% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 5.99% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 3.01% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.13% Total : 34.16% |
How you voted: Estoril vs Boavista
Estoril Praia
33.3%Draw
25.9%Boavista
40.7%27
Form Guide
