Primeira Liga | Gameweek 4

Sep 3, 2023 at 3.30pm UK

Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota

Estoril
1 - 2
Boavista

Marques (34')
Marques (70'), Alvaro (84'), Gomes (85')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Malheiro (4'), Morais (41')
Makouta (52'), Petit (66+66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Boavista, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estoril Praia

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Estrela Amadora 2-1 Estoril
Friday, August 25 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Boavista

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Boavista 1-1 Casa Pia
Sunday, August 27 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Estoril Praia 1-2 Boavista

Estoril Praia have had a difficult start to the season, but have proven to be competitive in every single match they have played, which is likely going to be the case again this weekend. However, Boavista could end up having slightly too much for them here, particularly due to the confidence that has come from their undefeated start. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 38.61%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 34.17% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (10.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Boavista in this match.

Result
Estoril Praia	Draw	Boavista
38.61% ( -0.52)	27.22% ( -0.07)	34.17% ( 0.58)

Both teams to score 50.02% (

0.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.59% (

0.33)

55.41% (

-0.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.39% (

0.27)

76.6% (

-0.27)

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.09% (

-0.14)

27.91% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.47% (

-0.18)

63.52% (

0.17)

Boavista Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.38% (

0.54)

30.61% (

-0.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.15% (

0.64)

66.85% (

-0.64)

Score Analysis

Estoril Praia 38.6%

Boavista 34.16%

Draw 27.22%

Estoril Praia	Draw	Boavista
1-0 @ 10.9% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 8.24% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 6.96% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 3.5% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.96% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.91% Total : 38.6%	1-1 @ 12.9% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.54% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 4.88% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.22%	0-1 @ 10.11% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.64% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 5.99% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 3.01% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.13% Total : 34.16%