MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 18:08:33| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Estoril
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 32
May 15, 2023 at 8.15pm UK
Estádio António Coimbra da Mota
Arouca

Estoril
2 - 0
Arouca

Carvalho (68'), Cassiano (90+4')
Gamboa (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Simao (90+8'), Nunes (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Arouca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estoril Praia

All competitions
Last Game: Boavista 1-0 Estoril
Saturday, May 6 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Arouca

All competitions
Last Game: Arouca 0-1 Porto
Monday, May 8 at 9.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Estoril Praia 0-1 Arouca

 Estoril have been the most out of form side in the top flight during 2023, and are likely to struggle against a side fighting towards the upper end of the table. Arouca have been notoriously difficult to beat all season, and deservedly find themselves in fifth, as Rio Ave are the only non-top four side to record a victory over them since early September. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 41.54%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 30.98% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Arouca win was 0-1 (9.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estoril Praia would win this match.

Result
Estoril PraiaDrawArouca
41.54% (-0.611 -0.61) 27.48% (0.128 0.13) 30.98% (0.483 0.48)
Both teams to score 48.4% (-0.172 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.94% (-0.312 -0.31)57.06% (0.312 0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.05% (-0.25 -0.25)77.94% (0.24900000000001 0.25)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.95% (-0.471 -0.47)27.05% (0.471 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.58% (-0.62 -0.62)62.42% (0.621 0.62)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.35% (0.19 0.19)33.65% (-0.19 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.7% (0.206 0.21)70.3% (-0.206 -0.21)
Score Analysis
    Estoril Praia 41.54%
    Arouca 30.98%
    Draw 27.48%
Estoril PraiaDrawArouca
1-0 @ 11.9% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.47% (-0.081999999999999 -0.08)
2-0 @ 7.78% (-0.116 -0.12)
3-1 @ 3.69% (-0.086 -0.09)
3-0 @ 3.39% (-0.097 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.01% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.21% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.11% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 41.54%
1-1 @ 12.96% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 9.1% (0.109 0.11)
2-2 @ 4.62% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.48%
0-1 @ 9.92% (0.168 0.17)
1-2 @ 7.06% (0.063 0.06)
0-2 @ 5.4% (0.119 0.12)
1-3 @ 2.56% (0.036 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.96% (0.053 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.68% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 30.98%

How you voted: Estoril vs Arouca

Estoril Praia
43.2%
Draw
11.4%
Arouca
45.5%
44
Head to Head
Jan 7, 2023 3.30pm
gameweek 15
Arouca
2-0
Estoril
Dabbagh (28', 64')
Ruiz (74'), Quaresma (90+1')

Lea Siliki (90+2')
Jan 27, 2022 8.15pm
gameweek 18
Estoril
1-2
Arouca
Ba (6' og.)
Joaozinho (26'), Franco (67'), Geraldes (90+6')
Silva (89'), Kouassi (90+7')
Ba (54'), Moreira (75')
Aug 7, 2021 12.45pm
gameweek 1
Arouca
0-2
Estoril

Andres Caballero (88')
Filipe Russo Franco (4'), Meshino (90+6')
Gamboa (38'), Alexis Leite Figueira (57'), Geraldes (89')
May 21, 2017 6pm
Estoril
4-2
Arouca
Claro (6'), Carlinhos (19'), Gomes (30'), Tocantins (76')
Dankler (39'), Yarchuk (79'), Basso (91')
Goiano (1', 31')
Costa (5'), Mateus (51'), Gonzalez (82'), Adilson (84')
Basto (41')
Jan 13, 2017 8.30pm
Arouca
2-1
Estoril
Adilson (80'), Kuka (93')
Kuka (93')
Othavio Basso (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Benfica1512213782938
2Sporting Lisbon15121243103337
3Porto1512123692737
4Braga1584327161128
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara159061615127
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes156542016423
7Casa Pia155551618-220
8MoreirenseMoreirense156271922-320
9FamalicaoFamalicao154741817119
10Gil Vicente154561724-717
11Rio AveRio Ave154471526-1116
12Estrela Amadora154381324-1115
13Estoril PraiaEstoril153571224-1214
14AVS152761122-1113
15Nacional153481021-1113
16BoavistaBoavista152671019-912
17SC FarenseFarense15339921-1212
18AroucaArouca153210926-1711
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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