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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Benfica
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 29
Apr 23, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Estoril

Benfica
1 - 0
Estoril

Otamendi (44')
Otamendi (60'), Grimaldo (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Lea Siliki (90+4'), Geraldes (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Benfica and Estoril Praia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inter Milan 3-3 Benfica
Wednesday, April 19 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Estoril 0-1 Portimonense
Saturday, April 15 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Benfica 4-1 Estoril Praia

This clash provides Benfica with the ideal opportunity to return to winning ways and reignite their title charge, so we expect the Eagles to soar to a comfortable victory on home soil. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 82.62%. A draw had a probability of 11.2% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 6.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 4-0 (8.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.15%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-2 (1.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
BenficaDrawEstoril Praia
82.62% (-0.036999999999992 -0.04) 11.22% (0.068999999999999 0.07) 6.16% (-0.035 -0.04)
Both teams to score 50.44% (-0.643 -0.64)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.06% (-0.60199999999999 -0.6)26.94% (0.6 0.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.58% (-0.766 -0.77)47.42% (0.763 0.76)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.23% (-0.11799999999999 -0.12)4.77% (0.116 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
80.71% (-0.354 -0.35)19.29% (0.351 0.35)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.97% (-0.609 -0.61)47.03% (0.608 0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.49% (-0.465 -0.47)82.51% (0.462 0.46)
Score Analysis
    Benfica 82.61%
    Estoril Praia 6.16%
    Draw 11.22%
BenficaDrawEstoril Praia
3-0 @ 10.53% (0.14 0.14)
2-0 @ 10.38% (0.22 0.22)
4-0 @ 8.01% (0.043 0.04)
3-1 @ 7.95% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-1 @ 7.84% (0.034 0.03)
1-0 @ 6.83% (0.198 0.2)
4-1 @ 6.04% (-0.071000000000001 -0.07)
5-0 @ 4.88% (-0.012 -0.01)
5-1 @ 3.68% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-2 @ 3% (-0.063 -0.06)
6-0 @ 2.47% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-2 @ 2.28% (-0.066 -0.07)
6-1 @ 1.87% (-0.052 -0.05)
5-2 @ 1.39% (-0.052 -0.05)
7-0 @ 1.08% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 4.4%
Total : 82.61%
1-1 @ 5.15% (0.063 0.06)
2-2 @ 2.96% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-0 @ 2.24% (0.082 0.08)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 11.22%
1-2 @ 1.94% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-1 @ 1.69% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 6.16%

How you voted: Benfica vs Estoril

Benfica
91.7%
Draw
0.0%
Estoril Praia
8.3%
24
Head to Head
Nov 9, 2022 8.45pm
Fourth Round
Estoril
0-1
Benfica

Ndiaye (16')
Neres (66')
Nov 6, 2022 8.30pm
gameweek 12
Estoril
1-5
Benfica
Serginho (90+1')
Musa (25'), Silva (30', 40'), Mario (67'), Ristic (89')
Mar 20, 2022 6pm
gameweek 27
Benfica
2-1
Estoril
Silva (34'), Ramos (53')
Weigl (29')
Franco (90+3')
Acevedo (10'), Joaozinho (81')
Oct 30, 2021 7pm
gameweek 10
Estoril
1-1
Benfica
Rosier (90')
Lourenco (42'), Africo (54'), Geraldes (90+4')
Verissimo (2')
Radonjic (55'), Verissimo (75')
Mar 4, 2021 8.15pm
Semi-Finals
Benfica
2-0
Estoril
Ramos (43'), Waldschmidt (90')
Tavares (29'), Pizzi (30')

Thierry Lazare (15')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon55001921715
2Porto540193612
3Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes540162412
4Braga632184411
5Benfica531194510
6FamalicaoFamalicao531183510
7Santa ClaraSanta Clara53029819
8MoreirenseMoreirense521289-17
9AVS521267-17
10Gil Vicente513156-16
11Casa Pia520347-36
12Rio AveRio Ave520336-36
13BoavistaBoavista512234-15
14Estoril PraiaEstoril512225-35
15Nacional6114412-84
16AroucaArouca510428-63
17Estrela Amadora502338-52
18SC FarenseFarense5005212-100


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