Primeira Liga | Gameweek 28

Apr 15, 2023 at 6pm UK

Estádio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira

Chaves
1 - 0
Benfica

Abass (90+4')
Guimaraes (28'), Monte (70'), Euller (86'), Pedro (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Chaves and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chaves

All competitions

Last Game: Gil Vicente 0-0 Chaves
Monday, April 10 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Benfica

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Benfica 0-2 Inter Milan
Tuesday, April 11 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Benfica will set out to restore some pride following their disappointing defeat against Inter Milan. Schmidt's men are currently on a fine run against Chaves, and given the gulf in quality between the two sides, we are backing them to see off the Flavienses. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 80.33%. A draw had a probability of 13% and a win for Chaves had a probability of 6.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.29%) and 0-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.15%), while for a Chaves win it was 1-0 (2.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result
Chaves	Draw	Benfica
6.71% ( -0.36)	12.96% ( -0.28)	80.33% ( 0.64)

Both teams to score 45.66% (

-0.95)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.84% (

-0.1)

34.16% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.95% (

-0.11)

56.04% (

0.11)

Chaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.89% (

-1.07)

51.11% (

1.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.58% (

-0.73)

85.41% (

0.72)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.4% (

0.1)

6.59% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

75.48% (

0.29)

24.52% (

-0.29)

Score Analysis

Chaves 6.71%

Benfica 80.32%

Draw 12.96%

Chaves	Draw	Benfica
1-0 @ 2.26% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 2.06% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.38% Total : 6.71%	1-1 @ 6.15% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 3.37% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.64% Total : 12.96%	0-2 @ 12.45% ( 0.21) 0-3 @ 11.29% ( 0.26) 0-1 @ 9.16% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 8.36% ( -0.12) 0-4 @ 7.68% ( 0.22) 1-3 @ 7.58% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 5.15% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 4.18% ( 0.14) 1-5 @ 2.8% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.1) 0-6 @ 1.89% ( 0.08) 2-4 @ 1.73% ( -0.06) 1-6 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) 2-5 @ 0.94% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.3% Total : 80.32%