Primeira Liga | Gameweek 22
Feb 25, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio do Futebol Clube de Vizela
We said: Vizela 1-3 Benfica
While Vizela have shown resilience on home soil in recent weeks, they are in for a tough 90 minutes against a Benfica side who are on a roll. As Aguias are currently firing on all cylinders and given the gulf in quality and experience between the two sides, we are backing them to ease to their sixth consecutive league victory.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 80.88% . A draw had a probability of 12.5% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 6.61% .
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.89% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.1%) and 0-1 (8.49%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.9%) , while for a Vizela win it was 1-0 (2.11%) . The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood . Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Benfica in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Benfica.
Result Vizela Draw Benfica 6.61% ( 0.05) 12.51% ( 0.06) 80.88% ( -0.1)
Both teams to score 47.06% ( 0.04)
67.84% ( -0.09) 32.16% ( 0.1)
46.25% ( -0.11) 53.75% ( 0.11)
50.11% ( 0.06) 49.89% ( -0.06)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 15.41% ( 0.04) 84.58% ( -0.04)
93.92% ( -0.04) 6.08% ( 0.04)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 76.91% ( -0.11) 23.09% ( 0.11)
Vizela 6.61%
Benfica 80.88%
Draw 12.51%
Vizela Draw Benfica 1-0 @ 2.11% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 2.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.45% Total : 6.61% 1-1 @ 5.9% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 3.03% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.7% Total : 12.51% 0-2 @ 11.89% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 11.1% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.49% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.27% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 7.77% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 7.72% 1-4 @ 5.41% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 4.36% ( -0.03) 1-5 @ 3.03% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.68% ( 0) 0-6 @ 2.03% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.88% ( -0) 1-6 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) 2-5 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 3.79% Total : 80.88%
How you voted: Vizela vs Benfica
46
rhs 2.0
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